# Motion Forecasting in Continuous Driving

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.06007 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.06007/

## Key facts

- Cited by 11 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 45 of its 52 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 8 Oct 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 45)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [PointNet: Deep Learning on Point Sets for 3D Classification and Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.00593/) (2016)
- [Argoverse: 3D Tracking and Forecasting with Rich Maps](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.02620/) (2019)
- [Argoverse 2: Next Generation Datasets for Self-Driving Perception and Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.00493/) (2023)
- [VectorNet: Encoding HD Maps and Agent Dynamics from Vectorized Representation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.04259/) (2020)
- [MultiPath: Multiple Probabilistic Anchor Trajectory Hypotheses for Behavior Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.05449/) (2019)
- [Learning Lane Graph Representations for Motion Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.13732/) (2020)
- [TNT: Target-driveN Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2008.08294/) (2020)
- [Exploring Object-Centric Temporal Modeling for Efficient Multi-View 3D Object Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.11926/) (2023)
- [DenseTNT: End-to-end Trajectory Prediction from Dense Goal Sets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.09640/) (2021)
- [Wayformer: Motion Forecasting via Simple & Efficient Attention Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.05844/) (2022)
- [Motion Transformer with Global Intention Localization and Local Movement Refinement](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.13508/) (2022)
- [CoverNet: Multimodal Behavior Prediction using Trajectory Sets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.10298/) (2019)
- [MultiPath++: Efficient Information Fusion and Trajectory Aggregation for Behavior Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.14973/) (2021)
- [Neighborhood Attention Transformer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.07143/) (2022)
- [MotionDiffuser: Controllable Multi-Agent Motion Prediction using Diffusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.03083/) (2023)
- [Multimodal Motion Prediction with Stacked Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.11624/) (2021)
- [GOHOME: Graph-Oriented Heatmap Output for future Motion Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.01827/) (2021)
- [MTR++: Multi-Agent Motion Prediction with Symmetric Scene Modeling and Guided Intention Querying](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.17770/) (2023)
- [HOME: Heatmap Output for future Motion Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.10968/) (2021)
- [LaneRCNN: Distributed Representations for Graph-Centric Motion Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.06653/) (2021)
- [Multimodal Trajectory Prediction Conditioned on Lane-Graph Traversals](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.15004/) (2021)
- [HDGT: Heterogeneous Driving Graph Transformer for Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction via Scene Encoding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.09753/) (2022)
- [THOMAS: Trajectory Heatmap Output with learned Multi-Agent Sampling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.06607/) (2021)
- [Forecast-MAE: Self-supervised Pre-training for Motion Forecasting with Masked Autoencoders](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.09882/) (2023)
- [GoRela: Go Relative for Viewpoint-Invariant Motion Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.02545/) (2022)
- [GANet: Goal Area Network for Motion Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.09723/) (2022)
- [ProphNet: Efficient Agent-Centric Motion Forecasting with Anchor-Informed Proposals](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.12071/) (2023)
- [Traj-MAE: Masked Autoencoders for Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.06697/) (2023)
- [FJMP: Factorized Joint Multi-Agent Motion Prediction over Learned Directed Acyclic Interaction Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.16197/) (2022)

## Built on by (most cited first, 11 of 11)

- [Learning Through Retrospection: Improving Trajectory Prediction for Automated Driving with Error Feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.13785/) (2025)
- [HAMF: A Hybrid Attention-Mamba Framework for Joint Scene Context Understanding and Future Motion Representation Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.15703/) (2025)
- [Recover to Predict: Progressive Retrospective Learning for Variable-Length Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.10597/) (2026)
- [A New Perspective On AI Safety Through Control Theory Methodologies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.23703/) (2025)
- [Streaming Real-Time Trajectory Prediction Using Endpoint-Aware Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.01864/) (2026)
- [TaPD: Temporal-adaptive Progressive Distillation for Observation-Adaptive Trajectory Forecasting in Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.06231/) (2026)
- [PanguMotion: Continuous Driving Motion Forecasting with Pangu Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.16196/) (2026)
- [SHARP: Short-Window Streaming for Accurate and Robust Prediction in Motion Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.28091/) (2026)
- [ECTraj: Enhanced Consistency Training for Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.08572/) (2026)
- [Hybrid Probabilistic Zonotopes for Identifiable and Refinable Predictive Uncertainty](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.05454/) (2026)
- [Wave Function Backpropagation with Explicit Temporal-Interval Dynamics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.00503/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Motion forecasting for agents in autonomous driving is highly challenging due to the numerous possibilities for each agent's next action and their complex interactions in space and time. In real applications, motion forecasting takes place repeatedly and continuously as the self-driving car moves. However, existing forecasting methods typically process each driving scene within a certain range independently, totally ignoring the situational and contextual relationships between successive driving scenes. This significantly simplifies the forecasting task, making the solutions suboptimal and inefficient to use in practice. To address this fundamental limitation, we propose a novel motion forecasting framework for continuous driving, named RealMotion. It comprises two integral streams both at the scene level: (1) The scene context stream progressively accumulates historical scene information until the present moment, capturing temporal interactive relationships among scene elements. (2) The agent trajectory stream optimizes current forecasting by sequentially relaying past predictions. Besides, a data reorganization strategy is introduced to narrow the gap between existing benchmarks and real-world applications, consistent with our network. These approaches enable exploiting more broadly the situational and progressive insights of dynamic motion across space and time. Extensive experiments on Argoverse series with different settings demonstrate that our RealMotion achieves state-of-the-art performance, along with the advantage of efficient real-world inference. The source code will be available at https://github.com/fudan-zvg/RealMotion.
