# Amortized Control of Continuous State Space Feynman-Kac Model for Irregular Time Series

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.05602 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.05602/

## Key facts

- Cited by 10 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 40 of its 71 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 8 Oct 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 40)

- [Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6980/) (2014)
- [Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.11239/) (2020)
- [Score-Based Generative Modeling through Stochastic Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.13456/) (2020)
- [Mamba: Linear-Time Sequence Modeling with Selective State Spaces](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.00752/) (2023)
- [Neural Ordinary Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.07366/) (2018)
- [Efficiently Modeling Long Sequences with Structured State Spaces](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.00396/) (2021)
- [Empirical Evaluation of Gated Recurrent Neural Networks on Sequence Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.3555/) (2014)
- [Simplified State Space Layers for Sequence Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.04933/) (2022)
- [Recurrent Neural Networks for Multivariate Time Series with Missing Values](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.01865/) (2016)
- [Neural Controlled Differential Equations for Irregular Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.08926/) (2020)
- [A survey of the Schr"odinger problem and some of its connections with optimal transport](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1308.0215/) (2013)
- [Scalable Gradients for Stochastic Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.01328/) (2020)
- [Multi-Time Attention Networks for Irregularly Sampled Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.10318/) (2021)
- [GRU-ODE-Bayes: Continuous modeling of sporadically-observed time series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.12374/) (2019)
- [Path Integral Sampler: a stochastic control approach for sampling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.15141/) (2021)
- [Neural Stochastic Differential Equations: Deep Latent Gaussian Models in the Diffusion Limit](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.09883/) (2019)
- [An optimal control perspective on diffusion-based generative modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.01364/) (2022)
- [A Disentangled Recognition and Nonlinear Dynamics Model for Unsupervised Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.05741/) (2017)
- [Modeling Irregular Time Series with Continuous Recurrent Units](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.11344/) (2021)
- [Probabilistic Inference in Language Models via Twisted Sequential Monte Carlo](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.17546/) (2024)
- [Diffusion Bridge Mixture Transports, Schr"odinger Bridge Problems and Generative Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.00917/) (2023)
- [Sequential Monte Carlo Steering of Large Language Models using Probabilistic Programs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.03081/) (2023)
- [Trivializations for Gradient-Based Optimization on Manifolds](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.09501/) (2019)
- [Recurrent Kalman Networks: Factorized Inference in High-Dimensional Deep Feature Spaces](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.07357/) (2019)
- [Particle Denoising Diffusion Sampler](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.06320/) (2024)
- [Probabilistic Recurrent State-Space Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1801.10395/) (2018)
- [Bayesian Learning via Neural Schr"odinger-F"ollmer Flows](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.10510/) (2021)
- [Simulating Diffusion Bridges with Score Matching](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.07243/) (2021)
- [Temporal Parallelization of Bayesian Smoothers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.13002/) (2019)
- [Neural Continuous-Discrete State Space Models for Irregularly-Sampled Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.11308/) (2023)

## Built on by (most cited first, 10 of 10)

- [SDE Matching: Scalable and Simulation-Free Training of Latent Stochastic Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.02472/) (2025)
- [Functional Adjoint Sampler: Scalable Sampling on Infinite Dimensional Spaces](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.06239/) (2025)
- [Neural Stochastic Processes for Satellite Precipitation Refinement](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.10414/) (2026)
- [Stochastic Optimal Control for Continuous-Time fMRI Representation Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.04892/) (2025)
- [Efficient Inference for Coupled Hidden Markov Models in Continuous Time and Discrete Space](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.12916/) (2025)
- [Multi-Marginal Schr"odinger Bridge Matching](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.16587/) (2025)
- [Physically-Constrained Mamba-SDE for Remaining Useful Life Prediction under Irregular Observations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.01894/) (2026)
- [GARLIC: Graph Attention-based Relational Learning of Multivariate Time Series in Intensive Care](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.10969/) (2026)
- [Liquid Gated Attention](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.30695/) (2026)
- [Gaussian Flow Dynamics: Simulation-Free Neural SDE Learning Beyond One-Time Marginals](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.04390/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Many real-world datasets, such as healthcare, climate, and economics, are often collected as irregular time series, which poses challenges for accurate modeling. In this paper, we propose the Amortized Control of continuous State Space Model (ACSSM) for continuous dynamical modeling of time series for irregular and discrete observations. We first present a multi-marginal Doob's h-transform to construct a continuous dynamical system conditioned on these irregular observations. Following this, we introduce a variational inference algorithm with a tight evidence lower bound (ELBO), leveraging stochastic optimal control (SOC) theory to approximate the intractable Doob's h-transform and simulate the conditioned dynamics. To improve efficiency and scalability during both training and inference, ACSSM leverages auxiliary variable to flexibly parameterize the latent dynamics and amortized control. Additionally, it incorporates a simulation-free latent dynamics framework and a transformer-based data assimilation scheme, facilitating parallel inference of the latent states and ELBO computation. Through empirical evaluations across a variety of real-world datasets, ACSSM demonstrates superior performance in tasks such as classification, regression, interpolation, and extrapolation, while maintaining computational efficiency.
