# Discovering Spoofing Attempts on Language Model Watermarks

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.02693 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.02693/

## Key facts

- Cited by 6 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Watermarking generated content and models, one of 12 directions in LLM safety and security.
- Builds on 26 of its 39 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 3 Oct 2024.

## Placed in

- LLM safety and security / [Watermarking generated content and models](https://mlsanity.com/safety/watermarking-generated-content-and-models/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 26 of 26)

- [The Llama 3 Herd of Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.21783/) (2024)
- [Exploring the Limits of Transfer Learning with a Unified Text-to-Text Transformer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.10683/) (2019)
- [Sparks of Artificial General Intelligence: Early experiments with GPT-4](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.12712/) (2023)
- [A Watermark for Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.10226/) (2023)
- [Paraphrasing evades detectors of AI-generated text, but retrieval is an effective defense](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.13408/) (2023)
- [Can AI-Generated Text be Reliably Detected?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.11156/) (2023)
- [Robust Distortion-free Watermarks for Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.15593/) (2023)
- [Provable Robust Watermarking for AI-Generated Text](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.17439/) (2023)
- [On the Reliability of Watermarks for Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.04634/) (2023)
- [Who Wrote this Code? Watermarking for Code Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.15060/) (2023)
- [Unbiased Watermark for Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.10669/) (2023)
- [Watermark Stealing in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.19361/) (2024)
- [Three Bricks to Consolidate Watermarks for Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.00113/) (2023)
- [A Robust Semantics-based Watermark for Large Language Model against Paraphrasing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.08721/) (2023)
- [On the Learnability of Watermarks for Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.04469/) (2023)
- [Publicly-Detectable Watermarking for Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.18491/) (2023)
- [An Entropy-based Text Watermarking Detection Method](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.13485/) (2024)
- [An Unforgeable Publicly Verifiable Watermark for Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.16230/) (2023)
- [Bypassing LLM Watermarks with Color-Aware Substitutions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.14719/) (2024)
- [RepLiQA: A Question-Answering Dataset for Benchmarking LLMs on Unseen Reference Content](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.11811/) (2024)
- [Bileve: Securing Text Provenance in Large Language Models Against Spoofing with Bi-level Signature](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.01946/) (2024)
- [CodeIP: A Grammar-Guided Multi-Bit Watermark for Large Language Models of Code](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.15639/) (2024)
- [Black-Box Detection of Language Model Watermarks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.20777/) (2024)
- [Double-I Watermark: Protecting Model Copyright for LLM Fine-tuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.14883/) (2024)
- [Large Language Model Watermark Stealing With Mixed Integer Programming](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.19677/) (2024)
- [Baselines for Identifying Watermarked Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.18456/) (2023)

## Built on by (most cited first, 6 of 6)

- [RLSpoofer: A Lightweight Evaluator for LLM Watermark Spoofing Resilience](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.11546/) (2026)
- [Modification and Generated-Text Detection: Achieving Dual Detection Capabilities for the Outputs of LLM by Watermark](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.08332/) (2025)
- [TANGO: Watermarking Masked Diffusion Language Models in Token Pairs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.35224/) (2026)
- [Forging LLM Authorship Fingerprints with Targeted Rewriting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.38831/) (2026)
- [Constitution-Guided Watermarking](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.09552/) (2026)
- [Pin It on Anyone: Certified Targeted Displacement of Multi-Bit LLM Watermarks Without the Key](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.18359/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

LLM watermarks stand out as a promising way to attribute ownership of LLM-generated text. One threat to watermark credibility comes from spoofing attacks, where an unauthorized third party forges the watermark, enabling it to falsely attribute arbitrary texts to a particular LLM. Despite recent work demonstrating that state-of-the-art schemes are, in fact, vulnerable to spoofing, no prior work has focused on post-hoc methods to discover spoofing attempts. In this work, we for the first time propose a reliable statistical method to distinguish spoofed from genuinely watermarked text, suggesting that current spoofing attacks are less effective than previously thought. In particular, we show that regardless of their underlying approach, all current learning-based spoofing methods consistently leave observable artifacts in spoofed texts, indicative of watermark forgery. We build upon these findings to propose rigorous statistical tests that reliably reveal the presence of such artifacts and thus demonstrate that a watermark has been spoofed. Our experimental evaluation shows high test power across all learning-based spoofing methods, providing insights into their fundamental limitations and suggesting a way to mitigate this threat. We make all our code available at https://github.com/eth-sri/watermark-spoofing-detection .