# Double-Path Adaptive-correlation Spatial-Temporal Inverted Transformer for Stock Time Series Forecasting

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.15662 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.15662/

## Key facts

- Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 11 of its 26 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 24 Sep 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 11 of 11)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Semi-Supervised Classification with Graph Convolutional Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1609.02907/) (2016)
- [Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks: A Deep Learning Framework for Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.04875/) (2017)
- [iTransformer: Inverted Transformers Are Effective for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.06625/) (2023)
- [Graph WaveNet for Deep Spatial-Temporal Graph Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.00121/) (2019)
- [Generating Sequences With Recurrent Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1308.0850/) (2013)
- [Adaptive Graph Convolutional Recurrent Network for Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.02842/) (2020)
- [Spectral Temporal Graph Neural Network for Multivariate Time-series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.07719/) (2021)
- [A Dual-Stage Attention-Based Recurrent Neural Network for Time Series Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1704.02971/) (2017)
- [Diffusion Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network: Data-Driven Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.01926/) (2017)
- [Hybrid Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network: Improving Traffic Prediction with Navigation Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.12715/) (2020)

## Built on by (most cited first, 4 of 4)

- [A Survey of Financial AI: Architectures, Advances and Open Challenges](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.12747/) (2024)
- [FinVerse: Financial Time-Series Benchmark](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.03259/) (2026)
- [Hierarchical Information-Guided Spatio-Temporal Mamba for Stock Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.11387/) (2025)
- [XForecast: The KDD 2026 Finance Day Challenge on News-Grounded Financial Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.16131/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Spatial-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) have achieved significant success in various time series forecasting tasks. However, due to the lack of explicit and fixed spatial relationships in stock prediction tasks, many STGNNs fail to perform effectively in this domain. While some STGNNs learn spatial relationships from time series, they often lack comprehensiveness. Research indicates that modeling time series using feature changes as tokens reveals entirely different information compared to using time steps as tokens. To more comprehensively extract dynamic spatial information from stock data, we propose a Double-Path Adaptive-correlation Spatial-Temporal Inverted Transformer (DPA-STIFormer). DPA-STIFormer models each node via continuous changes in features as tokens and introduces a Double Direction Self-adaptation Fusion mechanism. This mechanism decomposes node encoding into temporal and feature representations, simultaneously extracting different spatial correlations from a double path approach, and proposes a Double-path gating mechanism to fuse these two types of correlation information. Experiments conducted on four stock market datasets demonstrate state-of-the-art results, validating the model's superior capability in uncovering latent temporal-correlation patterns.
