# Price predictability in limit order book with deep learning model

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.14157 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.14157/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 1 of its 13 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 21 Sep 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Benchmark Dataset for Mid-Price Forecasting of Limit Order Book Data with Machine Learning Methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.03233/) (2017)

## Abstract (arXiv)

This study explores the prediction of high-frequency price changes using deep learning models. Although state-of-the-art methods perform well, their complexity impedes the understanding of successful predictions. We found that an inadequately defined target price process may render predictions meaningless by incorporating past information. The commonly used three-class problem in asset price prediction can generally be divided into volatility and directional prediction. When relying solely on the price process, directional prediction performance is not substantial. However, volume imbalance improves directional prediction performance.
