# MarS: a Financial Market Simulation Engine Powered by Generative Foundation Model

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.07486 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.07486/

## Key facts

- Cited by 28 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 40 of its 79 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 4 Sep 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 40)

- [Language Models are Few-Shot Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.14165/) (2020)
- [High-Resolution Image Synthesis with Latent Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.10752/) (2021)
- [GPT-4 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.08774/) (2023)
- [The Llama 3 Herd of Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.21783/) (2024)
- [Llama 2: Open Foundation and Fine-Tuned Chat Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.09288/) (2023)
- [Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.08361/) (2020)
- [Generative Adversarial Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.00667/) (2022)
- [On the Opportunities and Risks of Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.07258/) (2021)
- [Taming Transformers for High-Resolution Image Synthesis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.09841/) (2020)
- [Phi-3 Technical Report: A Highly Capable Language Model Locally on Your Phone](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.14219/) (2024)
- [LAION-400M: Open Dataset of CLIP-Filtered 400 Million Image-Text Pairs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.02114/) (2021)
- [ZeRO: Memory Optimizations Toward Training Trillion Parameter Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.02054/) (2019)
- [Scaling Vision Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.04560/) (2021)
- [BloombergGPT: A Large Language Model for Finance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.17564/) (2023)
- [Learning Universal Policies via Text-Guided Video Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.00111/) (2023)
- [Sora: A Review on Background, Technology, Limitations, and Opportunities of Large Vision Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.17177/) (2024)
- [Learning Interactive Real-World Simulators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.06114/) (2023)
- [Augmented Language Models: a Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.07842/) (2023)
- [Sequential Modeling Enables Scalable Learning for Large Vision Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.00785/) (2023)
- [Is Sora a World Simulator? A Comprehensive Survey on General World Models and Beyond](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.03520/) (2024)
- [Synthetic Data Generation with Large Language Models for Text Classification: Potential and Limitations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.07849/) (2023)
- [XuanYuan 2.0: A Large Chinese Financial Chat Model with Hundreds of Billions Parameters](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.12002/) (2023)
- [Video as the New Language for Real-World Decision Making](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.17139/) (2024)
- [InvestLM: A Large Language Model for Investment using Financial Domain Instruction Tuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.13064/) (2023)
- [FinGPT: Democratizing Internet-scale Data for Financial Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.10485/) (2023)
- [Instruct-FinGPT: Financial Sentiment Analysis by Instruction Tuning of General-Purpose Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.12659/) (2023)
- [Lawyer LLaMA Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.15062/) (2023)
- [Benchmark Dataset for Mid-Price Forecasting of Limit Order Book Data with Machine Learning Methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.03233/) (2017)
- [Get Real: Realism Metrics for Robust Limit Order Book Market Simulations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.04941/) (2019)
- [HATS: A Hierarchical Graph Attention Network for Stock Movement Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.07999/) (2019)

## Built on by (most cited first, 28 of 28)

- [Kronos: A Foundation Model for the Language of Financial Markets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.02739/) (2025)
- [Standard Benchmarks Fail -- Auditing LLM Agents in Finance Must Prioritize Risk](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.15865/) (2025)
- [DistDF: Time-Series Forecasting Needs Joint-Distribution Wasserstein Alignment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.24574/) (2025)
- [Quadratic Direct Forecast for Training Multi-Step Time-Series Forecast Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.00053/) (2025)
- [From Deep Learning to LLMs: A survey of AI in Quantitative Investment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.21422/) (2025)
- [MASS: Muli-agent simulation scaling for portfolio construction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.10278/) (2025)
- [Agentic Trading: When LLM Agents Meet Financial Markets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.19337/) (2026)
- [TradeFM: A Generative Foundation Model for Trade-flow and Market Microstructure](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.23784/) (2026)
- [OATS: Online Data Augmentation for Time Series Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.19040/) (2026)
- [KellyBench: A Benchmark for Long-Horizon Sequential Decision Making](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.27865/) (2026)
- [PortBench: A Correlation-Aware, Full-Pipeline Benchmark for LLM-Driven Portfolio Management](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.27887/) (2026)
- [EventTSF: Event-Aware Non-Stationary Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.13434/) (2025)
- [LOBERT: Generative AI Foundation Model for Limit Order Book Messages](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.12563/) (2025)
- [Deep Time-series Forecasting Needs Kernelized Moment Balancing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.00717/) (2026)
- [DiffLOB: Diffusion Models for Counterfactual Generation in Limit Order Books](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.03776/) (2026)
- [MEME: Modeling the Evolutionary Modes of Financial Markets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.11918/) (2026)
- [Financial Wind Tunnel: A Retrieval-Augmented Market Simulator](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.17909/) (2025)
- [Robust Reinforcement Learning in Finance: Modeling Market Impact with Elliptic Uncertainty Sets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.19950/) (2025)
- [TABL-ABM: A Hybrid Framework for Synthetic LOB Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.22685/) (2025)
- [Deep Time-Series Forecasting in 10 Years: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.19899/) (2026)
- [Market Regime Council for Dynamic Credit Assignment in Multi-Agent LLM Decision Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.24490/) (2026)
- [Diachronic Sample Integration: Robust Tail-Risk Estimation with Generative Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.10810/) (2026)
- [VAIOM: Continuous-Input, Discrete-Output Decoder-Only Financial Sequence Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.13929/) (2026)
- [M3: A State-Event Generative Foundation Model for Market Microstructure Dynamics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.19227/) (2026)
- [Scaling Multi-Agent Systems with Prospect-State Propagation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.08033/) (2026)
- [KiT: A Foundation Model for Financial Time-Series Forecasting using DiffusionTransformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.34507/) (2026)
- [ReLOBGen: Replayable Limit Order Book Message Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.35867/) (2026)
- [What Do Foundation Models for Market Microstructure Learn? A Controlled Study with Synthetic Limit Order Books](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.20104/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Generative models aim to simulate realistic effects of various actions across different contexts, from text generation to visual effects. Despite significant efforts to build real-world simulators, the application of generative models to virtual worlds, like financial markets, remains under-explored. In financial markets, generative models can simulate complex market effects of participants with various behaviors, enabling interaction under different market conditions, and training strategies without financial risk. This simulation relies on the finest structured data in financial market like orders thus building the finest realistic simulation. We propose Large Market Model (LMM), an order-level generative foundation model, for financial market simulation, akin to language modeling in the digital world. Our financial Market Simulation engine (MarS), powered by LMM, addresses the domain-specific need for realistic, interactive and controllable order generation. Key observations include LMM's strong scalability across data size and model complexity, and MarS's robust and practicable realism in controlled generation with market impact. We showcase MarS as a forecast tool, detection system, analysis platform, and agent training environment, thus demonstrating MarS's "paradigm shift" potential for a variety of financial applications. We release the code of MarS at https://github.com/microsoft/MarS/.
