# Roundabout Dilemma Zone Data Mining and Forecasting with Trajectory Prediction and Graph Neural Networks

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.00622 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.00622/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 7 of its 26 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 1 Sep 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 7 of 7)

- [PyTorch: An Imperative Style, High-Performance Deep Learning Library](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.01703/) (2019)
- [BEVFusion: Multi-Task Multi-Sensor Fusion with Unified Bird's-Eye View Representation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.13542/) (2022)
- [Social GAN: Socially Acceptable Trajectories with Generative Adversarial Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.10892/) (2018)
- [Understanding Bird's-Eye View of Road Semantics using an Onboard Camera](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.03040/) (2020)
- [Autonomous Driving Strategies at Intersections: Scenarios, State-of-the-Art, and Future Outlooks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.13052/) (2021)
- [CAROM Air -- Vehicle Localization and Traffic Scene Reconstruction from Aerial Videos](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.00075/) (2023)
- [CAROM -- Vehicle Localization and Traffic Scene Reconstruction from Monocular Cameras on Road Infrastructures](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.00893/) (2021)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Traffic roundabouts, as complex and critical road scenarios, pose significant safety challenges for autonomous vehicles. In particular, the encounter of a vehicle with a dilemma zone (DZ) at a roundabout intersection is a pivotal concern. This paper presents an automated system that leverages trajectory forecasting to predict DZ events, specifically at traffic roundabouts. Our system aims to enhance safety standards in both autonomous and manual transportation. The core of our approach is a modular, graph-structured recurrent model that forecasts the trajectories of diverse agents, taking into account agent dynamics and integrating heterogeneous data, such as semantic maps. This model, based on graph neural networks, aids in predicting DZ events and enhances traffic management decision-making. We evaluated our system using a real-world dataset of traffic roundabout intersections. Our experimental results demonstrate that our dilemma forecasting system achieves a high precision with a low false positive rate of 0.1. This research represents an advancement in roundabout DZ data mining and forecasting, contributing to the assurance of intersection safety in the era of autonomous vehicles.