# VisionTS: Visual Masked Autoencoders Are Free-Lunch Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasters

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.17253 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.17253/

## Key facts

- Cited by 88 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 55 of its 81 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 30 Aug 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 55)

- [BERT: Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.04805/) (2018)
- [Language Models are Few-Shot Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.14165/) (2020)
- [An Image is Worth 16x16 Words: Transformers for Image Recognition at Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.11929/) (2020)
- [High-Resolution Image Synthesis with Latent Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.10752/) (2021)
- [LLaMA: Open and Efficient Foundation Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.13971/) (2023)
- [Masked Autoencoders Are Scalable Vision Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.06377/) (2021)
- [Scalable Diffusion Models with Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.09748/) (2022)
- [On the Opportunities and Risks of Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.07258/) (2021)
- [BEiT: BERT Pre-Training of Image Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.08254/) (2021)
- [HuBERT: Self-Supervised Speech Representation Learning by Masked Prediction of Hidden Units](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.07447/) (2021)
- [Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.07436/) (2020)
- [A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.14730/) (2022)
- [Autoformer: Decomposition Transformers with Auto-Correlation for Long-Term Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.13008/) (2021)
- [Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.13504/) (2022)
- [BitFit: Simple Parameter-efficient Fine-tuning for Transformer-based Masked Language-models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.10199/) (2021)
- [FEDformer: Frequency Enhanced Decomposed Transformer for Long-term Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.12740/) (2022)
- [TimesNet: Temporal 2D-Variation Modeling for General Time Series Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.02186/) (2022)
- [Exploiting Cloze Questions for Few Shot Text Classification and Natural Language Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.07676/) (2020)
- [Chronos: Learning the Language of Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.07815/) (2024)
- [Resolution-robust Large Mask Inpainting with Fourier Convolutions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.07161/) (2021)
- [Time-LLM: Time Series Forecasting by Reprogramming Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.01728/) (2023)
- [A decoder-only foundation model for time-series forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.10688/) (2023)
- [One Fits All:Power General Time Series Analysis by Pretrained LM](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.11939/) (2023)
- [Unified Training of Universal Time Series Forecasting Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.02592/) (2024)
- [Large Language Models Are Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasters](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.07820/) (2023)
- [MOMENT: A Family of Open Time-series Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.03885/) (2024)
- [TS2Vec: Towards Universal Representation of Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.10466/) (2021)
- [A Transformer-based Framework for Multivariate Time Series Representation Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.02803/) (2020)
- [Non-stationary Transformers: Exploring the Stationarity in Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.14415/) (2022)
- [Monash Time Series Forecasting Archive](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.06643/) (2021)

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 88)

- [GIFT-Eval: A Benchmark For General Time Series Forecasting Model Evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.10393/) (2024)
- [CBraMod: A Criss-Cross Brain Foundation Model for EEG Decoding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.07236/) (2024)
- [ChatTS: Aligning Time Series with LLMs via Synthetic Data for Enhanced Understanding and Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.03104/) (2024)
- [This Time is Different: An Observability Perspective on Time Series Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.14766/) (2025)
- [Time-VLM: Exploring Multimodal Vision-Language Models for Augmented Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.04395/) (2025)
- [TS-RAG: Retrieval-Augmented Generation based Time Series Foundation Models are Stronger Zero-Shot Forecaster](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.07649/) (2025)
- [TimeXL: Explainable Multi-modal Time Series Prediction with LLM-in-the-Loop](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.01013/) (2025)
- [Representation Learning for Tabular Data: A Comprehensive Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.16109/) (2025)
- [Aurora: Towards Universal Generative Multimodal Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.22295/) (2025)
- [Harnessing Vision Models for Time Series Analysis: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.08869/) (2025)
- [Mantis: Lightweight Foundation Model for Time Series Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.15637/) (2025)
- [Output Scaling: YingLong-Delayed Chain of Thought in a Large Pretrained Time Series Forecasting Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.11029/) (2025)
- [AutoSOTA: An End-to-End Automated Research System for State-of-the-Art AI Model Discovery](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.05550/) (2026)
- [T2S: High-resolution Time Series Generation with Text-to-Series Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.02417/) (2025)
- [Lightweight Online Adaption for Time Series Foundation Model Forecasts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.12920/) (2025)
- [BLAST: Balanced Sampling Time Series Corpus for Universal Forecasting Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.17871/) (2025)
- [Rethinking Evaluation in the Era of Time Series Foundation Models: (Un)known Information Leakage Challenges](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.13654/) (2025)
- [Empowering Time Series Analysis with Synthetic Data: A Survey and Outlook in the Era of Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.11411/) (2025)
- [CauKer: Classification Time Series Foundation Models Can Be Pretrained on Synthetic Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.02879/) (2025)
- [Can Multimodal LLMs Perform Time Series Anomaly Detection?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.17812/) (2025)
- [VisionTS++: Cross-Modal Time Series Foundation Model with Continual Pre-trained Vision Backbones](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.04379/) (2025)
- [TS-Reasoner: Aligning Time Series Foundation Models with LLM Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.03519/) (2025)
- [Revisiting the Generic Transformer: Deconstructing a Strong Baseline for Time Series Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.06909/) (2026)
- [MantisV2: Closing the Zero-Shot Gap in Time Series Classification with Synthetic Data and Test-Time Strategies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.17868/) (2026)
- [TimeHF: Billion-Scale Time Series Models Guided by Human Feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.15942/) (2025)
- [Performance of Zero-Shot Time Series Foundation Models on Cloud Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.12944/) (2025)
- [TimesBERT: A BERT-Style Foundation Model for Time Series Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.21245/) (2025)
- [CaTS-Bench: Can Language Models Describe Time Series?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.20823/) (2025)
- [Vision-Enhanced Time Series Forecasting via Latent Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.14887/) (2025)
- [Multi-Modal View Enhanced Large Vision Models for Long-Term Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.24003/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Foundation models have emerged as a promising approach in time series forecasting (TSF). Existing approaches either repurpose large language models (LLMs) or build large-scale time series datasets to develop TSF foundation models for universal forecasting. However, these methods face challenges due to the severe cross-domain gap or in-domain heterogeneity. This paper explores a new road to building a TSF foundation model from rich, high-quality natural images. Our key insight is that a visual masked autoencoder, pre-trained on the ImageNet dataset, can naturally be a numeric series forecaster. By reformulating TSF as an image reconstruction task, we bridge the gap between image pre-training and TSF downstream tasks. Surprisingly, without further adaptation in the time series domain, the proposed VisionTS could achieve better zero-shot forecast performance than existing TSF foundation models. With fine-tuning for one epoch, VisionTS could further improve the forecasting and achieve state-of-the-art performance in most cases. Extensive experiments reveal intrinsic similarities between images and real-world time series, suggesting that visual models may offer a "free lunch" for TSF and highlight the potential for future cross-modality research. Our code is publicly available at https://github.com/Keytoyze/VisionTS.