# Retrieval-Augmented Generation Meets Data-Driven Tabula Rasa Approach for Temporal Knowledge Graph Forecasting

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.13273 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.13273/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Time series and agricultural RAG, one of 15 directions in Retrieval-augmented generation.
- Builds on 13 of its 28 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 18 Aug 2024.

## Placed in

- Retrieval-augmented generation / [Time series and agricultural RAG](https://mlsanity.com/rag/time-series-and-agricultural-rag/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 13 of 13)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6980/) (2014)
- [Embedding Entities and Relations for Learning and Inference in Knowledge Bases](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6575/) (2014)
- [TuckER: Tensor Factorization for Knowledge Graph Completion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1901.09590/) (2019)
- [Black-Box Tuning for Language-Model-as-a-Service](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.03514/) (2022)
- [Know-Evolve: Deep Temporal Reasoning for Dynamic Knowledge Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.05742/) (2017)
- [Learning Sequence Encoders for Temporal Knowledge Graph Completion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.03202/) (2018)
- [Temporal Knowledge Graph Reasoning Based on Evolutional Representation Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.10353/) (2021)
- [Diachronic Embedding for Temporal Knowledge Graph Completion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.03143/) (2019)
- [Learning from History: Modeling Temporal Knowledge Graphs with Sequential Copy-Generation Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.08492/) (2020)
- [TimeTraveler: Reinforcement Learning for Temporal Knowledge Graph Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.04101/) (2021)
- [TeMP: Temporal Message Passing for Temporal Knowledge Graph Completion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.03526/) (2020)
- [TLogic: Temporal Logical Rules for Explainable Link Forecasting on Temporal Knowledge Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.08025/) (2021)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Pre-trained large language models (PLLMs) like OpenAI ChatGPT and Google Gemini face challenges such as inaccurate factual recall, hallucinations, biases, and future data leakage for temporal Knowledge Graph (tKG) forecasting. To address these issues, we introduce sLA-tKGF (small-scale language assistant for tKG forecasting), which utilizes Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) aided, custom-trained small-scale language models through a tabula rasa approach from scratch for effective tKG forecasting. Our framework constructs knowledge-infused prompts with relevant historical data from tKGs, web search results, and PLLMs-generated textual descriptions to understand historical entity relationships prior to the target time. It leverages these external knowledge-infused prompts for deeper understanding and reasoning of context-specific semantic and temporal information to zero-shot prompt small-scale language models for more accurate predictions of future events within tKGs. It reduces hallucinations and mitigates distributional shift challenges through comprehending changing trends over time. As a result, it enables more accurate and contextually grounded forecasts of future events while minimizing computational demands. Rigorous empirical studies demonstrate our framework robustness, scalability, and state-of-the-art (SOTA) performance on benchmark datasets with interpretable and trustworthy tKG forecasting.