# Question Rephrasing for Quantifying Uncertainty in Large Language Models: Applications in Molecular Chemistry Tasks

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.03732 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.03732/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 21 of its 41 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 7 Aug 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 21 of 21)

- [Language Models are Few-Shot Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.14165/) (2020)
- [GPT-4 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.08774/) (2023)
- [Llama 2: Open Foundation and Fine-Tuned Chat Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.09288/) (2023)
- [Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02142/) (2015)
- [MoleculeNet: A Benchmark for Molecular Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.00564/) (2017)
- [Can LLMs Express Their Uncertainty? An Empirical Evaluation of Confidence Elicitation in LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.13063/) (2023)
- [Semantic Uncertainty: Linguistic Invariances for Uncertainty Estimation in Natural Language Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.09664/) (2023)
- [Predictive Uncertainty Estimation via Prior Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.10501/) (2018)
- [Generating with Confidence: Uncertainty Quantification for Black-box Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.19187/) (2023)
- [Large-Scale Chemical Language Representations Capture Molecular Structure and Properties](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.09553/) (2021)
- [What can Large Language Models do in chemistry? A comprehensive benchmark on eight tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.18365/) (2023)
- [Mol-Instructions: A Large-Scale Biomolecular Instruction Dataset for Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.08018/) (2023)
- [Predicting Organic Reaction Outcomes with Weisfeiler-Lehman Network](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.04555/) (2017)
- [Perturbation Sensitivity Analysis to Detect Unintended Model Biases](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.04210/) (2019)
- [Molformer: Motif-based Transformer on 3D Heterogeneous Molecular Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.01191/) (2021)
- [Uncertainty in Natural Language Processing: Sources, Quantification, and Applications](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.04459/) (2023)
- [Can Large Language Models Empower Molecular Property Prediction?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.07443/) (2023)
- [AstroLLaMA: Towards Specialized Foundation Models in Astronomy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.06126/) (2023)
- [Benchmarking Large Language Models for Molecule Prediction Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.05075/) (2024)
- [Harnessing Large Language Models as Post-hoc Correctors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.13414/) (2024)
- [Jaccard/Tanimoto similarity test and estimation methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.11372/) (2019)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [Inv-Entropy: A Fully Probabilistic Framework for Uncertainty Quantification in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.09684/) (2025)
- [EAIRA: Establishing a Methodology for Evaluating AI Models as Scientific Research Assistants](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.20309/) (2025)
- [Beyond statistical significance: Quantifying uncertainty and statistical variability in multilingual and multitask NLP evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.22612/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Uncertainty quantification enables users to assess the reliability of responses generated by large language models (LLMs). We present a novel Question Rephrasing technique to evaluate the input uncertainty of LLMs, which refers to the uncertainty arising from equivalent variations of the inputs provided to LLMs. This technique is integrated with sampling methods that measure the output uncertainty of LLMs, thereby offering a more comprehensive uncertainty assessment. We validated our approach on property prediction and reaction prediction for molecular chemistry tasks.
