# Operational range bounding of spectroscopy models with anomaly detection

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.02581 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.02581/

## Key facts

- Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 8 of its 25 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 5 Aug 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 8 of 8)

- [A Unified Approach to Interpreting Model Predictions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.07874/) (2017)
- [Uncertainty Quantification in Scientific Machine Learning: Methods, Metrics, and Comparisons](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.07766/) (2022)
- [From Concept Drift to Model Degradation: An Overview on Performance-Aware Drift Detectors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.11070/) (2022)
- [How to Certify Machine Learning Based Safety-critical Systems? A Systematic Literature Review](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.12045/) (2021)
- [Safely Entering the Deep: A Review of Verification and Validation for Machine Learning and a Challenge Elicitation in the Automotive Industry](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.05389/) (2018)
- [White Paper Machine Learning in Certified Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.10529/) (2021)
- [Lessons Learned from the 1st ARIEL Machine Learning Challenge: Correcting Transiting Exoplanet Light Curves for Stellar Spots](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.15996/) (2020)
- [Searching for Novel Chemistry in Exoplanetary Atmospheres using Machine Learning for Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.07604/) (2023)

## Built on by (most cited first, 2 of 2)

- [Traceable Spectral Inference via Influence Functions: Efficient Data Attribution and Error Proxies for the Ariel Mission](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.23458/) (2026)
- [Operational Range Bounding in Spectroscopy: A Safety Cage Framework for Machine Learning Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.13514/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Safe operation of machine learning models requires architectures that explicitly delimit their operational ranges. We evaluate the ability of anomaly detection algorithms to provide indicators correlated with degraded model performance. By placing acceptance thresholds over such indicators, hard boundaries are formed that define the model's coverage. As a use case, we consider the extraction of exoplanetary spectra from transit light curves, specifically within the context of ESA's upcoming Ariel mission. Isolation Forests are shown to effectively identify contexts where prediction models are likely to fail. Coverage/error trade-offs are evaluated under conditions of data and concept drift. The best performance is seen when Isolation Forests model projections of the prediction model's explainability SHAP values.
