# Adaptive Planning with Generative Models under Uncertainty

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.01510 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.01510/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in RL with diffusion and flow models, one of 15 directions in Deep reinforcement learning methods.
- Builds on 28 of its 31 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 2 Aug 2024.

## Placed in

- Deep reinforcement learning methods / [RL with diffusion and flow models](https://mlsanity.com/deeprl/rl-with-diffusion-and-flow-models/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 28 of 28)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Language Models are Few-Shot Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.14165/) (2020)
- [Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.11239/) (2020)
- [High-Resolution Image Synthesis with Latent Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.10752/) (2021)
- [Score-Based Generative Modeling through Stochastic Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.13456/) (2020)
- [Deep Unsupervised Learning using Nonequilibrium Thermodynamics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1503.03585/) (2015)
- [Hierarchical Text-Conditional Image Generation with CLIP Latents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.06125/) (2022)
- [Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02142/) (2015)
- [Generative Modeling by Estimating Gradients of the Data Distribution](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.05600/) (2019)
- [Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.01474/) (2016)
- [Elucidating the Design Space of Diffusion-Based Generative Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.00364/) (2022)
- [Diffusion Policy: Visuomotor Policy Learning via Action Diffusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.04137/) (2023)
- [Consistency Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.01469/) (2023)
- [Imagen Video: High Definition Video Generation with Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.02303/) (2022)
- [Decision Transformer: Reinforcement Learning via Sequence Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.01345/) (2021)
- [D4RL: Datasets for Deep Data-Driven Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.07219/) (2020)
- [Planning with Diffusion for Flexible Behavior Synthesis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.09991/) (2022)
- [On Distillation of Guided Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.03142/) (2022)
- [Offline Reinforcement Learning as One Big Sequence Modeling Problem](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.02039/) (2021)
- [Diffusion Policies as an Expressive Policy Class for Offline Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.06193/) (2022)
- [Weight Uncertainty in Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1505.05424/) (2015)
- [Is Conditional Generative Modeling all you need for Decision-Making?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.15657/) (2022)
- [Improved Techniques for Training Consistency Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.14189/) (2023)
- [Knowledge Distillation in Iterative Generative Models for Improved Sampling Speed](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.02388/) (2021)
- [Gotta Go Fast When Generating Data with Score-Based Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.14080/) (2021)
- [AdaptDiffuser: Diffusion Models as Adaptive Self-evolving Planners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.01877/) (2023)
- [Diffusion Model is an Effective Planner and Data Synthesizer for Multi-Task Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.18459/) (2023)
- [Adaptive Online Replanning with Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.09629/) (2023)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [Believing is Seeing: Unobserved Object Detection using Generative Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.05869/) (2024)
- [Dynamic Obstacle Avoidance through Uncertainty-Based Adaptive Planning with Diffusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.16950/) (2024)
- [Spatial Attention: Adapting Execution Horizons for Diffusion Policies via Observation Sensitivity](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.04739/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Planning with generative models has emerged as an effective decision-making paradigm across a wide range of domains, including reinforcement learning and autonomous navigation. While continuous replanning at each timestep might seem intuitive because it allows decisions to be made based on the most recent environmental observations, it results in substantial computational challenges, primarily due to the complexity of the generative model's underlying deep learning architecture. Our work addresses this challenge by introducing a simple adaptive planning policy that leverages the generative model's ability to predict long-horizon state trajectories, enabling the execution of multiple actions consecutively without the need for immediate replanning. We propose to use the predictive uncertainty derived from a Deep Ensemble of inverse dynamics models to dynamically adjust the intervals between planning sessions. In our experiments conducted on locomotion tasks within the OpenAI Gym framework, we demonstrate that our adaptive planning policy allows for a reduction in replanning frequency to only about 10% of the steps without compromising the performance. Our results underscore the potential of generative modeling as an efficient and effective tool for decision-making.