# Can We Trust the Performance Evaluation of Uncertainty Estimation Methods in Text Summarization?

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.17274 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.17274/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 26 of its 54 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 25 Jun 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 26 of 26)

- [Llama 2: Open Foundation and Fine-Tuned Chat Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.09288/) (2023)
- [Sentence-BERT: Sentence Embeddings using Siamese BERT-Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.10084/) (2019)
- [BART: Denoising Sequence-to-Sequence Pre-training for Natural Language Generation, Translation, and Comprehension](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.13461/) (2019)
- [BERTScore: Evaluating Text Generation with BERT](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.09675/) (2019)
- [Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.05221/) (2022)
- [Don't Give Me the Details, Just the Summary! Topic-Aware Convolutional Neural Networks for Extreme Summarization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1808.08745/) (2018)
- [Semantic Uncertainty: Linguistic Invariances for Uncertainty Estimation in Natural Language Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.09664/) (2023)
- [Abstractive Text Summarization Using Sequence-to-Sequence RNNs and Beyond](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.06023/) (2016)
- [Text Summarization with Pretrained Encoders](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.08345/) (2019)
- [Diverse Beam Search: Decoding Diverse Solutions from Neural Sequence Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1610.02424/) (2016)
- [Generating with Confidence: Uncertainty Quantification for Black-box Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.19187/) (2023)
- [Towards a Unified Multi-Dimensional Evaluator for Text Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.07197/) (2022)
- [Fine-tune BERT for Extractive Summarization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.10318/) (2019)
- [TofuEval: Evaluating Hallucinations of LLMs on Topic-Focused Dialogue Summarization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.13249/) (2024)
- [Compression, Transduction, and Creation: A Unified Framework for Evaluating Natural Language Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.06379/) (2021)
- [This Email Could Save Your Life: Introducing the Task of Email Subject Line Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.03497/) (2019)
- [Improving Back-Translation with Uncertainty-based Confidence Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.00157/) (2019)
- [Detection of Word Adversarial Examples in Text Classification: Benchmark and Baseline via Robust Density Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.01677/) (2022)
- [On Uncertainty Calibration and Selective Generation in Probabilistic Neural Summarization: A Benchmark Study](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.08653/) (2023)
- [Uncertainty Estimation in Autoregressive Structured Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.07650/) (2020)
- [Should We Trust This Summary? Bayesian Abstractive Summarization to The Rescue](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.10155/) (2021)
- [Momentum Calibration for Text Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.04257/) (2022)
- [Active Learning for Abstractive Text Summarization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.03252/) (2023)
- [Bayesian Active Summarization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.04480/) (2021)
- [Semi-Supervised Dialogue Abstractive Summarization via High-Quality Pseudolabel Selection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.04073/) (2024)
- [Polarity Calibration for Opinion Summarization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.01706/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [From Calibration to Collaboration: LLM Uncertainty Quantification Should Be More Human-Centered](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.07461/) (2025)
- [Trustworthy Summarization via Uncertainty Quantification and Risk Awareness in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.01231/) (2025)
- [Understanding the Impact of Confidence in Retrieval Augmented Generation: A Case Study in the Medical Domain](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.20309/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Text summarization, a key natural language generation (NLG) task, is vital in various domains. However, the high cost of inaccurate summaries in risk-critical applications, particularly those involving human-in-the-loop decision-making, raises concerns about the reliability of uncertainty estimation on text summarization (UE-TS) evaluation methods. This concern stems from the dependency of uncertainty model metrics on diverse and potentially conflicting NLG metrics. To address this issue, we introduce a comprehensive UE-TS benchmark incorporating 31 NLG metrics across four dimensions. The benchmark evaluates the uncertainty estimation capabilities of two large language models and one pre-trained language model on three datasets, with human-annotation analysis incorporated where applicable. We also assess the performance of 14 common uncertainty estimation methods within this benchmark. Our findings emphasize the importance of considering multiple uncorrelated NLG metrics and diverse uncertainty estimation methods to ensure reliable and efficient evaluation of UE-TS techniques. Our code and data are available https://github.com/he159ok/Benchmark-of-Uncertainty-Estimation-Methods-in-Text-Summarization.
