# Semantic Entropy Probes: Robust and Cheap Hallucination Detection in LLMs

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.15927 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.15927/

## Key facts

- Cited by 259 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 57 of its 75 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 22 Jun 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 57)

- [Language Models are Few-Shot Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.14165/) (2020)
- [LLaMA: Open and Efficient Foundation Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.13971/) (2023)
- [Llama 2: Open Foundation and Fine-Tuned Chat Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.09288/) (2023)
- [TriviaQA: A Large Scale Distantly Supervised Challenge Dataset for Reading Comprehension](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.03551/) (2017)
- [DeBERTa: Decoding-enhanced BERT with Disentangled Attention](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.03654/) (2020)
- [Survey of Hallucination in Natural Language Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.03629/) (2022)
- [Language Models as Knowledge Bases?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.01066/) (2019)
- [Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.05221/) (2022)
- [Large Language Models Encode Clinical Knowledge](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.13138/) (2022)
- [Know What You Don't Know: Unanswerable Questions for SQuAD](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.03822/) (2018)
- [Understanding intermediate layers using linear classifier probes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1610.01644/) (2016)
- [Representation Engineering: A Top-Down Approach to AI Transparency](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.01405/) (2023)
- [Inference-Time Intervention: Eliciting Truthful Answers from a Language Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.03341/) (2023)
- [FActScore: Fine-grained Atomic Evaluation of Factual Precision in Long Form Text Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.14251/) (2023)
- [Language Models Don't Always Say What They Think: Unfaithful Explanations in Chain-of-Thought Prompting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.04388/) (2023)
- [Steering Llama 2 via Contrastive Activation Addition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.06681/) (2023)
- [On Faithfulness and Factuality in Abstractive Summarization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.00661/) (2020)
- [Probing Classifiers: Promises, Shortcomings, and Advances](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.12452/) (2021)
- [Semantic Uncertainty: Linguistic Invariances for Uncertainty Estimation in Natural Language Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.09664/) (2023)
- [SelfCheckGPT: Zero-Resource Black-Box Hallucination Detection for Generative Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.08896/) (2023)
- [Discovering Latent Knowledge in Language Models Without Supervision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.03827/) (2022)
- [Teaching Models to Express Their Uncertainty in Words](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.14334/) (2022)
- [How Much Knowledge Can You Pack Into the Parameters of a Language Model?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.08910/) (2020)
- [The Geometry of Truth: Emergent Linear Structure in Large Language Model Representations of True/False Datasets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.06824/) (2023)
- [Measuring Faithfulness in Chain-of-Thought Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.13702/) (2023)
- [Siren's Song in the AI Ocean: A Survey on Hallucination in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.01219/) (2023)
- [Eliciting Latent Predictions from Transformers with the Tuned Lens](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.08112/) (2023)
- [Asking and Answering Questions to Evaluate the Factual Consistency of Summaries](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.04228/) (2020)
- [A Survey of Hallucination in Large Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.05922/) (2023)
- [Check Your Facts and Try Again: Improving Large Language Models with External Knowledge and Automated Feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.12813/) (2023)

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 259)

- [A Survey on Uncertainty Quantification of Large Language Models: Taxonomy, Open Research Challenges, and Future Directions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.05563/) (2024)
- [Do I Know This Entity? Knowledge Awareness and Hallucinations in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.14257/) (2024)
- [ReDeEP: Detecting Hallucination in Retrieval-Augmented Generation via Mechanistic Interpretability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.11414/) (2024)
- [SEED-GRPO: Semantic Entropy Enhanced GRPO for Uncertainty-Aware Policy Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.12346/) (2025)
- [SAFE: Multitask Failure Detection for Vision-Language-Action Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.09937/) (2025)
- [Evaluating Step-by-step Reasoning Traces: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.12289/) (2025)
- [Do LLMs Know When to NOT Answer? Investigating Abstention Abilities of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.16221/) (2024)
- [Steer LLM Latents for Hallucination Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.01917/) (2025)
- [Calibrating Verbal Uncertainty as a Linear Feature to Reduce Hallucinations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.14477/) (2025)
- [Hallucination Detection in LLMs Using Spectral Features of Attention Maps](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.17598/) (2025)
- [Knowledge Boundary of Large Language Models: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.12472/) (2024)
- [Think or Not? Exploring Thinking Efficiency in Large Reasoning Models via an Information-Theoretic Lens](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.18237/) (2025)
- [Real-Time Detection of Hallucinated Entities in Long-Form Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.03531/) (2025)
- [ICR Probe: Tracking Hidden State Dynamics for Reliable Hallucination Detection in LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.16488/) (2025)
- [Uncertainty Quantification for LLMs through Minimum Bayes Risk: Bridging Confidence and Consistency](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.04964/) (2025)
- [Trust Me, I'm Wrong: LLMs Hallucinate with Certainty Despite Knowing the Answer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.12964/) (2025)
- [A Comprehensive Survey on the Trustworthiness of Large Language Models in Healthcare](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.15871/) (2025)
- [TokUR: Token-Level Uncertainty Estimation for Large Language Model Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.11737/) (2025)
- [A Survey on the Honesty of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.18786/) (2024)
- [Revisiting Uncertainty Estimation and Calibration of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.23854/) (2025)
- [Uncertainty-Aware Step-wise Verification with Generative Reward Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.11250/) (2025)
- [The Illusion of Progress: Re-evaluating Hallucination Detection in LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.08285/) (2025)
- [Semantic Volume: Quantifying and Detecting both External and Internal Uncertainty in LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.21239/) (2025)
- [Robust Hallucination Detection in LLMs via Adaptive Token Selection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.07863/) (2025)
- [Trace Length is a Simple Uncertainty Signal in Reasoning Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.10409/) (2025)
- [On the Limitations of Compute Thresholds as a Governance Strategy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.05694/) (2024)
- [Rethinking Uncertainty Estimation in LLMs: A Principled Single-Sequence Measure](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.15176/) (2024)
- [Uncertainty Quantification for Language Models: A Suite of Black-Box, White-Box, LLM Judge, and Ensemble Scorers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.19254/) (2025)
- [LRP4RAG: Detecting Hallucinations in Retrieval-Augmented Generation via Layer-wise Relevance Propagation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.15533/) (2024)
- [Depth Gives a False Sense of Privacy: LLM Internal States Inversion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.16372/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We propose semantic entropy probes (SEPs), a cheap and reliable method for uncertainty quantification in Large Language Models (LLMs). Hallucinations, which are plausible-sounding but factually incorrect and arbitrary model generations, present a major challenge to the practical adoption of LLMs. Recent work by Farquhar et al. (2024) proposes semantic entropy (SE), which can detect hallucinations by estimating uncertainty in the space semantic meaning for a set of model generations. However, the 5-to-10-fold increase in computation cost associated with SE computation hinders practical adoption. To address this, we propose SEPs, which directly approximate SE from the hidden states of a single generation. SEPs are simple to train and do not require sampling multiple model generations at test time, reducing the overhead of semantic uncertainty quantification to almost zero. We show that SEPs retain high performance for hallucination detection and generalize better to out-of-distribution data than previous probing methods that directly predict model accuracy. Our results across models and tasks suggest that model hidden states capture SE, and our ablation studies give further insights into the token positions and model layers for which this is the case.