# Precise analysis of ridge interpolators under heavy correlations -- a Random Duality Theory view

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.09199 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.09199/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 34 of its 60 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 13 Jun 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 34)

- [Neural Tangent Kernel: Convergence and Generalization in Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.07572/) (2018)
- [Understanding deep learning requires rethinking generalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.03530/) (2016)
- [Reconciling modern machine learning practice and the bias-variance trade-off](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.11118/) (2018)
- [Wide Neural Networks of Any Depth Evolve as Linear Models Under Gradient Descent](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.06720/) (2019)
- [Gradient Descent Provably Optimizes Over-parameterized Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.02054/) (2018)
- [Fine-Grained Analysis of Optimization and Generalization for Overparameterized Two-Layer Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1901.08584/) (2019)
- [Surprises in High-Dimensional Ridgeless Least Squares Interpolation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.08560/) (2019)
- [On the Global Convergence of Gradient Descent for Over-parameterized Models using Optimal Transport](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.09545/) (2018)
- [The generalization error of random features regression: Precise asymptotics and double descent curve](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.05355/) (2019)
- [In Search of the Real Inductive Bias: On the Role of Implicit Regularization in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6614/) (2014)
- [Implicit Regularization in Matrix Factorization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.09280/) (2017)
- [Learning Overparameterized Neural Networks via Stochastic Gradient Descent on Structured Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1808.01204/) (2018)
- [High-dimensional dynamics of generalization error in neural networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.03667/) (2017)
- [Two models of double descent for weak features](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.07571/) (2019)
- [Just Interpolate: Kernel "Ridgeless" Regression Can Generalize](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1808.00387/) (2018)
- [To understand deep learning we need to understand kernel learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.01396/) (2018)
- [Towards moderate overparameterization: global convergence guarantees for training shallow neural networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.04674/) (2019)
- [High-Dimensional Asymptotics of Prediction: Ridge Regression and Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1507.03003/) (2015)
- [Stochastic Gradient Descent Optimizes Over-parameterized Deep ReLU Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.08888/) (2018)
- [Harmless interpolation of noisy data in regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.09139/) (2019)
- [Overfitting or perfect fitting? Risk bounds for classification and regression rules that interpolate](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.05161/) (2018)
- [On the Optimal Weighted ℓ2 Regularization in Overparameterized Linear Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.05800/) (2020)
- [Does data interpolation contradict statistical optimality?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.09471/) (2018)
- [A Continuous-Time View of Early Stopping for Least Squares](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.10082/) (2018)
- [A jamming transition from under- to over-parametrization affects loss landscape and generalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.09665/) (2018)
- [Asymptotics of Ridge (less) Regression under General Source Condition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.06386/) (2020)
- [Regularly random duality](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1303.7295/) (2013)
- [Another look at the Gardner problem](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1306.3979/) (2013)
- [Upper-bounding ℓ1-optimization weak thresholds](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1303.7289/) (2013)
- [Discrete perceptrons](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1306.4375/) (2013)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We consider fully row/column-correlated linear regression models and study several classical estimators (including minimum norm interpolators (GLS), ordinary least squares (LS), and ridge regressors). We show that Random Duality Theory (RDT) can be utilized to obtain precise closed form characterizations of all estimators related optimizing quantities of interest, including the prediction risk (testing or generalization error). On a qualitative level out results recover the risk's well known non-monotonic (so-called double-descent) behavior as the number of features/sample size ratio increases. On a quantitative level, our closed form results show how the risk explicitly depends on all key model parameters, including the problem dimensions and covariance matrices. Moreover, a special case of our results, obtained when intra-sample (or time-series) correlations are not present, precisely match the corresponding ones obtained via spectral methods in [6,16,17,24].