# Logarithmic Smoothing for Pessimistic Off-Policy Evaluation, Selection and Learning

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.14335 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.14335/

## Key facts

- Cited by 16 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 33 of its 63 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 23 May 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 33)

- [Is Pessimism Provably Efficient for Offline RL?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.15085/) (2020)
- [User-friendly introduction to PAC-Bayes bounds](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.11216/) (2021)
- [Top-K Off-Policy Correction for a REINFORCE Recommender System](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.02353/) (2018)
- [Doubly Robust Policy Evaluation and Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1503.02834/) (2015)
- [More Robust Doubly Robust Off-policy Evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.03493/) (2018)
- [Optimal and Adaptive Off-policy Evaluation in Contextual Bandits](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.01205/) (2016)
- [Asymmetric LSH (ALSH) for Sublinear Time Maximum Inner Product Search (MIPS)](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1405.5869/) (2014)
- [Off-policy evaluation for slate recommendation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1605.04812/) (2016)
- [Offline A/B testing for Recommender Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1801.07030/) (2018)
- [Doubly robust off-policy evaluation with shrinkage](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.09623/) (2019)
- [CoinDICE: Off-Policy Confidence Interval Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.11652/) (2020)
- [Off-policy Bandits with Deficient Support](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.09438/) (2020)
- [Policy Evaluation and Optimization with Continuous Treatments](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.06037/) (2018)
- [Off-Policy Evaluation for Large Action Spaces via Embeddings](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.06317/) (2022)
- [Contextual Bandits with Continuous Actions: Smoothing, Zooming, and Adapting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.01520/) (2019)
- [Confident Off-Policy Evaluation and Selection through Self-Normalized Importance Weighting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.10460/) (2020)
- [Off-Policy Evaluation for Large Action Spaces via Conjunct Effect Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.08062/) (2023)
- [Bayesian Counterfactual Risk Minimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.11500/) (2018)
- [Semi-Parametric Efficient Policy Learning with Continuous Actions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.10116/) (2019)
- [PAC-Bayesian Offline Contextual Bandits With Guarantees](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.13132/) (2022)
- [BLOB : A Probabilistic Model for Recommendation that Combines Organic and Bandit Signals](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2008.12504/) (2020)
- [Exponential Smoothing for Off-Policy Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.15877/) (2023)
- [Oracle-Efficient Pessimism: Offline Policy Optimization in Contextual Bandits](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.07923/) (2023)
- [Importance-Weighted Offline Learning Done Right](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.15771/) (2023)
- [Off-Policy Evaluation for Large Action Spaces via Policy Convolution](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.15433/) (2023)
- [Marginal Density Ratio for Off-Policy Evaluation in Contextual Bandits](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.01457/) (2023)
- [Probabilistic Rank and Reward: A Scalable Model for Slate Recommendation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.06263/) (2022)
- [PAC-Bayes Bounds for Bandit Problems: A Survey and Experimental Comparison](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.16110/) (2022)
- [Learning Action Embeddings for Off-Policy Evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.03954/) (2023)
- [Improving Offline Contextual Bandits with Distributional Robustness](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.06835/) (2020)

## Built on by (most cited first, 16 of 16)

- [Towards a Sharp Analysis of Offline Policy Learning for f-Divergence-Regularized Contextual Bandits](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.06051/) (2025)
- [Heavy-Tailed Linear Bandits: Huber Regression with One-Pass Update](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.00419/) (2025)
- [Improved Offline Contextual Bandits with Second-Order Bounds: Betting and Freezing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.10826/) (2025)
- [Exploiting Similarities in A/B Testing with Off-Policy Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.10677/) (2025)
- [A General Framework for Off-Policy Learning with Partially-Observed Reward](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.14439/) (2025)
- [Non-Linear Counterfactual Aggregate Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.03438/) (2025)
- [Off-Policy Learning in Large Action Spaces: Optimization Matters More Than Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.03456/) (2025)
- [Offline Contextual Bandit with Counterfactual Sample Identification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.10520/) (2025)
- [A More Accurate Algorithm Comparison through A/B Testing using Offline Evaluation Methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.01958/) (2026)
- [Clustered KL-barycenter design for policy evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.02735/) (2025)
- [Sequential Off-Policy Learning with Logarithmic Smoothing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.10664/) (2025)
- [Evaluating and Learning Robust Bandit Policies Under Uncertain Causal Mechanisms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.02812/) (2025)
- [Kernel weighted importance sampling for off-policy evaluation in contextual bandits](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.15067/) (2026)
- [Evaluating covariate balance for long time horizon Markov decision processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.15080/) (2026)
- [Cross-Domain Off-Policy Evaluation and Learning for Contextual Bandits](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.22012/) (2026)
- [TGRL: Temperature-Grouped Reinforcement Learning for Efficient Exploration in LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.33589/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

This work investigates the offline formulation of the contextual bandit problem, where the goal is to leverage past interactions collected under a behavior policy to evaluate, select, and learn new, potentially better-performing, policies. Motivated by critical applications, we move beyond point estimators. Instead, we adopt the principle of pessimism where we construct upper bounds that assess a policy's worst-case performance, enabling us to confidently select and learn improved policies. Precisely, we introduce novel, fully empirical concentration bounds for a broad class of importance weighting risk estimators. These bounds are general enough to cover most existing estimators and pave the way for the development of new ones. In particular, our pursuit of the tightest bound within this class motivates a novel estimator (LS), that logarithmically smooths large importance weights. The bound for LS is provably tighter than its competitors, and naturally results in improved policy selection and learning strategies. Extensive policy evaluation, selection, and learning experiments highlight the versatility and favorable performance of LS.
