# Multi-agent Traffic Prediction via Denoised Endpoint Distribution

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.07041 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.07041/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 18 of its 26 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 11 May 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 18 of 18)

- [Social GAN: Socially Acceptable Trajectories with Generative Adversarial Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.10892/) (2018)
- [DESIRE: Distant Future Prediction in Dynamic Scenes with Interacting Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1704.04394/) (2017)
- [SoPhie: An Attentive GAN for Predicting Paths Compliant to Social and Physical Constraints](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.01482/) (2018)
- [It Is Not the Journey but the Destination: Endpoint Conditioned Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.02025/) (2020)
- [Convolutional Social Pooling for Vehicle Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.06771/) (2018)
- [Multimodal Motion Prediction with Stacked Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.11624/) (2021)
- [Stochastic Trajectory Prediction via Motion Indeterminacy Diffusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.13777/) (2022)
- [Transformer Networks for Trajectory Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.08111/) (2020)
- [Leapfrog Diffusion Model for Stochastic Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.10895/) (2023)
- [TrafficPredict: Trajectory Prediction for Heterogeneous Traffic-Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.02146/) (2018)
- [Imitating Driver Behavior with Generative Adversarial Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1701.06699/) (2017)
- [PiP: Planning-informed Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.11476/) (2020)
- [TPNet: Trajectory Proposal Network for Motion Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.12255/) (2020)
- [GRIP++: Enhanced Graph-based Interaction-aware Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.07792/) (2019)
- [How would surround vehicles move? A Unified Framework for Maneuver Classification and Motion Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1801.06523/) (2018)
- [Maneuver-based Trajectory Prediction for Self-driving Cars Using Spatio-temporal Convolutional Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.07365/) (2021)
- [Uncertainty-Aware Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction via Distributional Diffusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.08367/) (2023)
- [Attention-aware Social Graph Transformer Networks for Stochastic Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.15881/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

The exploration of high-speed movement by robots or road traffic agents is crucial for autonomous driving and navigation. Trajectory prediction at high speeds requires considering historical features and interactions with surrounding entities, a complexity not as pronounced in lower-speed environments. Prior methods have assessed the spatio-temporal dynamics of agents but often neglected intrinsic intent and uncertainty, thereby limiting their effectiveness. We present the Denoised Endpoint Distribution model for trajectory prediction, which distinctively models agents' spatio-temporal features alongside their intrinsic intentions and uncertainties. By employing Diffusion and Transformer models to focus on agent endpoints rather than entire trajectories, our approach significantly reduces model complexity and enhances performance through endpoint information. Our experiments on open datasets, coupled with comparison and ablation studies, demonstrate our model's efficacy and the importance of its components. This approach advances trajectory prediction in high-speed scenarios and lays groundwork for future developments.