# Towards Robust Trajectory Representations: Isolating Environmental Confounders with Causal Learning

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.14073 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.14073/

## Key facts

- Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 15 of its 41 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 22 Apr 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 15 of 15)

- [Learning Phrase Representations using RNN Encoder-Decoder for Statistical Machine Translation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1406.1078/) (2014)
- [Categorical Reparameterization with Gumbel-Softmax](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.01144/) (2016)
- [Recurrent Neural Networks for Multivariate Time Series with Missing Values](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.01865/) (2016)
- [Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks for Predictive Learning in Urban Computing: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.14483/) (2023)
- [CITRIS: Causal Identifiability from Temporal Intervened Sequences](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.03169/) (2022)
- [Causal Attention for Interpretable and Generalizable Graph Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.15089/) (2021)
- [Self-supervised Trajectory Representation Learning with Temporal Regularities and Travel Semantics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.09510/) (2022)
- [Deciphering Spatio-Temporal Graph Forecasting: A Causal Lens and Treatment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.13378/) (2023)
- [Contrastive Trajectory Similarity Learning with Dual-Feature Attention](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.05155/) (2022)
- [COLA: Cross-city Mobility Transformer for Human Trajectory Simulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.01801/) (2024)
- [Trajectory Data Management and Mining: A Survey from Deep Learning to the LLM Era](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.14151/) (2024)
- [Transferable Time-Series Forecasting under Causal Conditional Shift](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.03422/) (2021)
- [Mutual Distillation Learning Network for Trajectory-User Linking](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.03773/) (2022)
- [TrajectoryNet: An Embedded GPS Trajectory Representation for Point-based Classification Using Recurrent Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.02636/) (2017)
- [Spatio-temporal neural structural causal models for bike flow prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.07843/) (2023)

## Built on by (most cited first, 4 of 4)

- [UniTE: A Survey and Unified Pipeline for Pre-training Spatiotemporal Trajectory Embeddings](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.12550/) (2024)
- [Spatio-Temporal Trajectory Foundation Model - Recent Advances and Future Directions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.20729/) (2025)
- [AirRadar: Inferring Nationwide Air Quality in China with Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.13141/) (2025)
- [Select, then Balance: Exploring Exogenous Variable Modeling of Spatio-Temporal Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.05779/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Trajectory modeling refers to characterizing human movement behavior, serving as a pivotal step in understanding mobility patterns. Nevertheless, existing studies typically ignore the confounding effects of geospatial context, leading to the acquisition of spurious correlations and limited generalization capabilities. To bridge this gap, we initially formulate a Structural Causal Model (SCM) to decipher the trajectory representation learning process from a causal perspective. Building upon the SCM, we further present a Trajectory modeling framework (TrajCL) based on Causal Learning, which leverages the backdoor adjustment theory as an intervention tool to eliminate the spurious correlations between geospatial context and trajectories. Extensive experiments on two real-world datasets verify that TrajCL markedly enhances performance in trajectory classification tasks while showcasing superior generalization and interpretability.
