# Training-Conditional Coverage Bounds for Uniformly Stable Learning Algorithms

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.13731 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.13731/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 3 of its 15 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 21 Apr 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [Predictive inference with the jackknife+](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.02928/) (2019)
- [Conformal Prediction With Conditional Guarantees](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.12616/) (2023)
- [Batch Multivalid Conformal Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.15145/) (2022)

## Abstract (arXiv)

The training-conditional coverage performance of the conformal prediction is known to be empirically sound. Recently, there have been efforts to support this observation with theoretical guarantees. The training-conditional coverage bounds for jackknife+ and full-conformal prediction regions have been established via the notion of (m,n)-stability by Liang and Barber~[2023]. Although this notion is weaker than uniform stability, it is not clear how to evaluate it for practical models. In this paper, we study the training-conditional coverage bounds of full-conformal, jackknife+, and CV+ prediction regions from a uniform stability perspective which is known to hold for empirical risk minimization over reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces with convex regularization. We derive coverage bounds for finite-dimensional models by a concentration argument for the (estimated) predictor function, and compare the bounds with existing ones under ridge regression.
