# Stock Recommendations for Individual Investors: A Temporal Graph Network Approach with Mean-Variance Efficient Sampling

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.07223 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.07223/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 13 of its 44 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 27 Mar 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 13 of 13)

- [Semi-Supervised Classification with Graph Convolutional Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1609.02907/) (2016)
- [Graph Attention Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.10903/) (2017)
- [Learning Phrase Representations using RNN Encoder-Decoder for Statistical Machine Translation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1406.1078/) (2014)
- [LightGCN: Simplifying and Powering Graph Convolution Network for Recommendation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.02126/) (2020)
- [Neural Graph Collaborative Filtering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.08108/) (2019)
- [Temporal Graph Networks for Deep Learning on Dynamic Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.10637/) (2020)
- [Inductive Representation Learning on Temporal Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.07962/) (2020)
- [Self-supervised Graph Learning for Recommendation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.10783/) (2020)
- [Temporal Relational Ranking for Stock Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.09441/) (2018)
- [Continuous-Time Sequential Recommendation with Temporal Graph Collaborative Transformer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.06625/) (2021)
- [Adaptive Collaborative Filtering with Personalized Time Decay Functions for Financial Product Recommendation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.01208/) (2023)
- [Mean-Variance Efficient Collaborative Filtering for Stock Recommendation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.06590/) (2023)
- [Large-scale Recommendation for Portfolio Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.07768/) (2021)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [RicciFlowRec: A Geometric Root Cause Recommender Using Ricci Curvature on Financial Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.09334/) (2025)
- [Aligning Language Models with Investor and Market Behavior for Financial Recommendations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.15993/) (2025)
- [Dynamic Objective Selection with Safeguards and LLM Oversight for Financial Decision-Making](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.03704/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Recommender systems can be helpful for individuals to make well-informed decisions in complex financial markets. While many studies have focused on predicting stock prices, even advanced models fall short of accurately forecasting them. Additionally, previous studies indicate that individual investors often disregard established investment theories, favoring their personal preferences instead. This presents a challenge for stock recommendation systems, which must not only provide strong investment performance but also respect these individual preferences. To create effective stock recommender systems, three critical elements must be incorporated: 1) individual preferences, 2) portfolio diversification, and 3) the temporal dynamics of the first two. In response, we propose a new model, Portfolio Temporal Graph Network Recommender PfoTGNRec, which can handle time-varying collaborative signals and incorporates diversification-enhancing sampling. On real-world individual trading data, our approach demonstrates superior performance compared to state-of-the-art baselines, including cutting-edge dynamic embedding models and existing stock recommendation models. Indeed, we show that PfoTGNRec is an effective solution that can balance customer preferences with the need to suggest portfolios with high Return-on-Investment. The source code and data are available at https://github.com/youngandbin/PfoTGNRec.
