# Linguistic Calibration of Long-Form Generations

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.00474 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.00474/

## Key facts

- Cited by 60 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 30 Mar 2024.

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 60)

- [A Survey on Uncertainty Quantification of Large Language Models: Taxonomy, Open Research Challenges, and Future Directions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.05563/) (2024)
- [Can Unconfident LLM Annotations Be Used for Confident Conclusions?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.15204/) (2024)
- [Finetuning Language Models to Emit Linguistic Expressions of Uncertainty](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.12180/) (2024)
- [Atomic Calibration of LLMs in Long-Form Generations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.13246/) (2024)
- [A Survey on the Honesty of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.18786/) (2024)
- [Revisiting Uncertainty Quantification Evaluation in Language Models: Spurious Interactions with Response Length Bias Results](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.13677/) (2025)
- [Conformal Linguistic Calibration: Trading-off between Factuality and Specificity](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.19110/) (2025)
- [LoGU: Long-form Generation with Uncertainty Expressions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.14309/) (2024)
- [LoVeC: Reinforcement Learning for Better Verbalized Confidence in Long-Form Generations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.23912/) (2025)
- [On Subjective Uncertainty Quantification and Calibration in Natural Language Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.05213/) (2024)
- [MetaFaith: Faithful Natural Language Uncertainty Expression in LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.24858/) (2025)
- [From Loops to Oops: Fallback Behaviors of Language Models Under Uncertainty](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.06071/) (2024)
- [Don't lie to your friends: Learning what you know from collaborative self-play](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.14481/) (2025)
- [Conformal Language Model Reasoning with Coherent Factuality](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.17126/) (2025)
- [Anthropomimetic Uncertainty: What Verbalized Uncertainty in Language Models is Missing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.10587/) (2025)
- [CtrlA: Adaptive Retrieval-Augmented Generation via Inherent Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.18727/) (2024)
- [Confidence Calibration in Vision-Language-Action Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.17383/) (2025)
- [Graph-based Uncertainty Metrics for Long-form Language Model Outputs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.20783/) (2024)
- [Read Your Own Mind: Reasoning Helps Surface Self-Confidence Signals in LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.23845/) (2025)
- [A Survey of Calibration Process for Black-Box LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.12767/) (2024)
- [STRUX: An LLM for Decision-Making with Structured Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.12583/) (2024)
- [Loki's Dance of Illusions: A Comprehensive Survey of Hallucination in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.02870/) (2025)
- [Teaching Language Models to Faithfully Express their Uncertainty](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.12587/) (2025)
- [Reliable Decision Making via Calibration Oriented Retrieval Augmented Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.08891/) (2024)
- [Enhancing Trust in Large Language Models via Uncertainty-Calibrated Fine-Tuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.02904/) (2024)
- [GRACE: A Granular Benchmark for Evaluating Model Calibration against Human Calibration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.19684/) (2025)
- [DeFine: Decision-Making with Analogical Reasoning over Factor Profiles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.01772/) (2024)
- [Statistical Methods in Generative AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.07054/) (2025)
- [Taming Object Hallucinations with Verified Atomic Confidence Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.09228/) (2025)
- [On the Entropy Calibration of Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.11966/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Language models (LMs) may lead their users to make suboptimal downstream decisions when they confidently hallucinate. This issue can be mitigated by having the LM verbally convey the probability that its claims are correct, but existing models cannot produce long-form text with calibrated confidence statements. Through the lens of decision-making, we define linguistic calibration for long-form generations: an LM is linguistically calibrated if its generations enable its users to make calibrated probabilistic predictions. This definition enables a training framework where a supervised finetuning step bootstraps an LM to emit long-form generations with confidence statements such as "I estimate a 30% chance of..." or "I am certain that...", followed by a reinforcement learning step which rewards generations that enable a user to provide calibrated answers to related questions. We linguistically calibrate Llama 2 7B and find in automated and human evaluations of long-form generations that it is significantly more calibrated than strong finetuned factuality baselines with comparable accuracy. These findings generalize under significant domain shifts to scientific and biomedical questions and to an entirely held-out person biography generation task. Our results demonstrate that long-form generations may be calibrated end-to-end by constructing an objective in the space of the predictions that users make in downstream decision-making.
