# Sanity Checks for Explanation Uncertainty

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.17212 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.17212/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 11 of its 18 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 25 Mar 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 11 of 11)

- ["Why Should I Trust You?": Explaining the Predictions of Any Classifier](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.04938/) (2016)
- [Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02142/) (2015)
- [Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.01474/) (2016)
- [Axiomatic Attribution for Deep Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.01365/) (2017)
- [Sanity Checks for Saliency Maps](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.03292/) (2018)
- [Striving for Simplicity: The All Convolutional Net](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6806/) (2014)
- [Evaluating the visualization of what a Deep Neural Network has learned](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1509.06321/) (2015)
- [Flipout: Efficient Pseudo-Independent Weight Perturbations on Mini-Batches](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.04386/) (2018)
- [Reliable Post hoc Explanations: Modeling Uncertainty in Explainability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2008.05030/) (2020)
- [DropConnect Is Effective in Modeling Uncertainty of Bayesian Deep Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.04569/) (2019)
- [Explaining Bayesian Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.10346/) (2021)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [CrackedPDFs: A Controlled Benchmark for Hidden Prompt Injection in PDFs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.19396/) (2026)
- [Signal or Noise? Auditing Rotation-Induced Saliency Drift in Medical and Aerial Imaging](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.02224/) (2026)
- [Faithfulness Without Anchors: A Position Paper on the Structural Misalignments of Explainable AI Faithfulness Metrics for Feature Importance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.12493/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Explanations for machine learning models can be hard to interpret or be wrong. Combining an explanation method with an uncertainty estimation method produces explanation uncertainty. Evaluating explanation uncertainty is difficult. In this paper we propose sanity checks for uncertainty explanation methods, where a weight and data randomization tests are defined for explanations with uncertainty, allowing for quick tests to combinations of uncertainty and explanation methods. We experimentally show the validity and effectiveness of these tests on the CIFAR10 and California Housing datasets, noting that Ensembles seem to consistently pass both tests with Guided Backpropagation, Integrated Gradients, and LIME explanations.
