# Game and Reference: Policy Combination Synthesis for Epidemic Prevention and Control

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.10744 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.10744/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 5 of its 21 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 16 Mar 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 5 of 5)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Scattering GCN: Overcoming Oversmoothness in Graph Convolutional Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.08414/) (2020)
- [Assessing the Causal Impact of COVID-19 Related Policies on Outbreak Dynamics: A Case Study in the US](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.01315/) (2021)
- [When and How to Lift the Lockdown? Global COVID-19 Scenario Analysis and Policy Assessment using Compartmental Gaussian Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.08837/) (2020)
- [Data-driven Simulation and Optimization for Covid-19 Exit Strategies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.07087/) (2020)

## Abstract (arXiv)

In recent years, epidemic policy-making models are increasingly being used to provide reference for governors on prevention and control policies against catastrophic epidemics such as SARS, H1N1 and COVID-19. Existing studies are currently constrained by two issues: First, previous methods develop policies based on effect evaluation, since few of factors in real-world decision-making can be modeled, the output policies will then easily become extreme. Second, the subjectivity and cognitive limitation of human make the historical policies not always optimal for the training of decision models. To these ends, we present a novel Policy Combination Synthesis (PCS) model for epidemic policy-making. Specially, to prevent extreme decisions, we introduce adversarial learning between the model-made policies and the real policies to force the output policies to be more human-liked. On the other hand, to minimize the impact of sub-optimal historical policies, we employ contrastive learning to let the model draw on experience from the best historical policies under similar scenarios. Both adversarial and contrastive learning are adaptive based on the comprehensive effects of real policies to ensure the model always learns useful information. Extensive experiments on real-world data prove the effectiveness of the proposed model.