# GoalNet: Goal Areas Oriented Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.19002 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.19002/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 30 of its 49 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 29 Feb 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 30)

- [Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.03385/) (2015)
- [Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6980/) (2014)
- [U-Net: Convolutional Networks for Biomedical Image Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1505.04597/) (2015)
- [Layer Normalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1607.06450/) (2016)
- [nuScenes: A multimodal dataset for autonomous driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.11027/) (2019)
- [A ConvNet for the 2020s](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.03545/) (2022)
- [DeepLab: Semantic Image Segmentation with Deep Convolutional Nets, Atrous Convolution, and Fully Connected CRFs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.00915/) (2016)
- [Fast R-CNN](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1504.08083/) (2015)
- [Identity Mappings in Deep Residual Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1603.05027/) (2016)
- [Group Normalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.08494/) (2018)
- [Attention U-Net: Learning Where to Look for the Pancreas](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1804.03999/) (2018)
- [Argoverse: 3D Tracking and Forecasting with Rich Maps](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.02620/) (2019)
- [Social GAN: Socially Acceptable Trajectories with Generative Adversarial Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.10892/) (2018)
- [MultiPath: Multiple Probabilistic Anchor Trajectory Hypotheses for Behavior Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.05449/) (2019)
- [From Goals, Waypoints & Paths To Long Term Human Trajectory Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.01526/) (2020)
- [Deep Spatial Autoencoders for Visuomotor Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1509.06113/) (2015)
- [Batch Renormalization: Towards Reducing Minibatch Dependence in Batch-Normalized Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1702.03275/) (2017)
- [ViP3D: End-to-end Visual Trajectory Prediction via 3D Agent Queries](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.01582/) (2022)
- [The Garden of Forking Paths: Towards Multi-Future Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.06445/) (2019)
- [Human Trajectory Prediction via Neural Social Physics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.10435/) (2022)
- [Stepwise Goal-Driven Networks for Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.14107/) (2021)
- [Sequence-to-Sequence Prediction of Vehicle Trajectory via LSTM Encoder-Decoder Architecture](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.06338/) (2018)
- [BiTraP: Bi-directional Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction with Multi-modal Goal Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.14558/) (2020)
- [View Vertically: A Hierarchical Network for Trajectory Prediction via Fourier Spectrums](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.07288/) (2021)
- [Goal-driven Long-Term Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.02751/) (2020)
- [End-to-End Trajectory Distribution Prediction Based on Occupancy Grid Maps](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.16910/) (2022)
- [Dropout Reduces Underfitting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.01500/) (2023)
- [Action-based Contrastive Learning for Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.08664/) (2022)
- [On-Board Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction Using Behavioral Features](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.11999/) (2022)
- [Stochastic Sampling Simulation for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.01860/) (2019)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [SGNetPose+: Stepwise Goal-Driven Networks with Pose Information for Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.08016/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Predicting the future trajectories of pedestrians on the road is an important task for autonomous driving. The pedestrian trajectory prediction is affected by scene paths, pedestrian's intentions and decision-making, which is a multi-modal problem. Most recent studies use past trajectories to predict a variety of potential future trajectory distributions, which do not account for the scene context and pedestrian targets. Instead of predicting the future trajectory directly, we propose to use scene context and observed trajectory to predict the goal points first, and then reuse the goal points to predict the future trajectories. By leveraging the information from scene context and observed trajectory, the uncertainty can be limited to a few target areas, which represent the "goals" of the pedestrians. In this paper, we propose GoalNet, a new trajectory prediction neural network based on the goal areas of a pedestrian. Our network can predict both pedestrian's trajectories and bounding boxes. The overall model is efficient and modular, and its outputs can be changed according to the usage scenario. Experimental results show that GoalNet significantly improves the previous state-of-the-art performance by 48.7% on the JAAD and 40.8% on the PIE dataset.