# Neural machine translation of clinical procedure codes for medical diagnosis and uncertainty quantification

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.10940 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.10940/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 8 of its 31 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 7 Feb 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 8 of 8)

- [Neural Machine Translation by Jointly Learning to Align and Translate](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1409.0473/) (2014)
- [Sequence to Sequence Learning with Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1409.3215/) (2014)
- [Effective Approaches to Attention-based Neural Machine Translation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1508.04025/) (2015)
- [Professor Forcing: A New Algorithm for Training Recurrent Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1610.09038/) (2016)
- [Natural Language Processing: State of The Art, Current Trends and Challenges](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1708.05148/) (2017)
- [Neural Machine Translation: A Review and Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.02047/) (2019)
- [Further Generalizations of the Jaccard Index](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.09619/) (2021)
- [Entropic Regularization of Markov Decision Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.04214/) (2019)

## Abstract (arXiv)

A Clinical Decision Support System (CDSS) is designed to enhance clinician decision-making by combining system-generated recommendations with medical expertise. Given the high costs, intensive labor, and time-sensitive nature of medical treatments, there is a pressing need for efficient decision support, especially in complex emergency scenarios. In these scenarios, where information can be limited, an advanced CDSS framework that leverages AI (artificial intelligence) models to effectively reduce diagnostic uncertainty has utility. Such an AI-enabled CDSS framework with quantified uncertainty promises to be practical and beneficial in the demanding context of real-world medical care. In this study, we introduce the concept of Medical Entropy, quantifying uncertainties in patient outcomes predicted by neural machine translation based on the ICD-9 code of procedures. Our experimental results not only show strong correlations between procedure and diagnosis sequences based on the simple ICD-9 code but also demonstrate the promising capacity to model trends of uncertainties during hospitalizations through a data-driven approach.
