# Calibration-then-Calculation: A Variance Reduced Metric Framework in Deep Click-Through Rate Prediction Models

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.16692 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.16692/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 13 of its 28 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 30 Jan 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 13 of 13)

- [Batch Normalization: Accelerating Deep Network Training by Reducing Internal Covariate Shift](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1502.03167/) (2015)
- [Wide & Deep Learning for Recommender Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.07792/) (2016)
- [DeepFM: A Factorization-Machine based Neural Network for CTR Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.04247/) (2017)
- [Deep Interest Network for Click-Through Rate Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.06978/) (2017)
- [Deep & Cross Network for Ad Click Predictions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1708.05123/) (2017)
- [Deep Learning Recommendation Model for Personalization and Recommendation Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.00091/) (2019)
- [DCN V2: Improved Deep & Cross Network and Practical Lessons for Web-scale Learning to Rank Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2008.13535/) (2020)
- [xDeepFM: Combining Explicit and Implicit Feature Interactions for Recommender Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.05170/) (2018)
- [Accounting for Variance in Machine Learning Benchmarks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.03098/) (2021)
- [A Survey of Graph Neural Networks for Recommender Systems: Challenges, Methods, and Directions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.12843/) (2021)
- [Torch.manual_seed(3407) is all you need: On the influence of random seeds in deep learning architectures for computer vision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.08203/) (2021)
- [Deep Learning over Multi-field Categorical Data: A Case Study on User Response Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1601.02376/) (2016)
- [Optimized Cost per Click in Taobao Display Advertising](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.02091/) (2017)

## Abstract (arXiv)

The adoption of deep learning across various fields has been extensive, yet there is a lack of focus on evaluating the performance of deep learning pipelines. Typically, with the increased use of large datasets and complex models, the training process is run only once and the result is compared to previous benchmarks. This practice can lead to imprecise comparisons due to the variance in neural network evaluation metrics, which stems from the inherent randomness in the training process. Traditional solutions, such as running the training process multiple times, are often infeasible due to computational constraints. In this paper, we introduce a novel metric framework, the Calibrated Loss Metric, designed to address this issue by reducing the variance present in its conventional counterpart. Consequently, this new metric enhances the accuracy in detecting effective modeling improvements. Our approach is substantiated by theoretical justifications and extensive experimental validations within the context of Deep Click-Through Rate Prediction Models.