# Inductive Models for Artificial Intelligence Systems are Insufficient without Good Explanations

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.09011 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.09011/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 15 of its 62 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 17 Jan 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 15 of 15)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.11239/) (2020)
- [Intriguing properties of neural networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1312.6199/) (2013)
- [Neural Machine Translation by Jointly Learning to Align and Translate](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1409.0473/) (2014)
- [Sparks of Artificial General Intelligence: Early experiments with GPT-4](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.12712/) (2023)
- [Towards A Rigorous Science of Interpretable Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1702.08608/) (2017)
- [A Survey Of Methods For Explaining Black Box Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.01933/) (2018)
- [Adversarial Examples Are Not Bugs, They Are Features](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.02175/) (2019)
- [Attention is not Explanation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.10186/) (2019)
- [Attention is not not Explanation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.04626/) (2019)
- [How Language Model Hallucinations Can Snowball](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.13534/) (2023)
- [Schema Networks: Zero-shot Transfer with a Generative Causal Model of Intuitive Physics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.04317/) (2017)
- [Self-explaining AI as an alternative to interpretable AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.05149/) (2020)
- [Applying Deutsch's concept of good explanations to artificial intelligence and neuroscience -- an initial exploration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.09318/) (2020)
- [Induction, Popper, and machine learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.00840/) (2021)

## Abstract (arXiv)

This paper discusses the limitations of machine learning (ML), particularly deep artificial neural networks (ANNs), which are effective at approximating complex functions but often lack transparency and explanatory power. It highlights the `problem of induction' : the philosophical issue that past observations may not necessarily predict future events, a challenge that ML models face when encountering new, unseen data. The paper argues for the importance of not just making predictions but also providing good explanations, a feature that current models often fail to deliver. It suggests that for AI to progress, we must seek models that offer insights and explanations, not just predictions.