# Decoding AI's Nudge: A Unified Framework to Predict Human Behavior in AI-assisted Decision Making

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.05840 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.05840/

## Key facts

- Cited by 9 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 23 of its 71 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 11 Jan 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 23 of 23)

- [A Unified Approach to Interpreting Model Predictions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.07874/) (2017)
- ["Why Should I Trust You?": Explaining the Predictions of Any Classifier](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.04938/) (2016)
- [Does the Whole Exceed its Parts? The Effect of AI Explanations on Complementary Team Performance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.14779/) (2020)
- [Effect of Confidence and Explanation on Accuracy and Trust Calibration in AI-Assisted Decision Making](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.02114/) (2020)
- [Manipulating and Measuring Model Interpretability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.07810/) (2018)
- [On Human Predictions with Explanations and Predictions of Machine Learning Models: A Case Study on Deception Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.07901/) (2018)
- [Proxy Tasks and Subjective Measures Can Be Misleading in Evaluating Explainable AI Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.08298/) (2020)
- [To Trust or to Think: Cognitive Forcing Functions Can Reduce Overreliance on AI in AI-assisted Decision-making](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.09692/) (2021)
- [Human-Centered Tools for Coping with Imperfect Algorithms during Medical Decision-Making](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.02960/) (2019)
- [Evaluating Saliency Map Explanations for Convolutional Neural Networks: A User Study](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.00772/) (2020)
- [A Case for Humans-in-the-Loop: Decisions in the Presence of Erroneous Algorithmic Scores](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.08035/) (2020)
- [Who Should I Trust: AI or Myself? Leveraging Human and AI Correctness Likelihood to Promote Appropriate Trust in AI-Assisted Decision-Making](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.05809/) (2023)
- [Understanding the Effect of Out-of-distribution Examples and Interactive Explanations on Human-AI Decision Making](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.05303/) (2021)
- [What can AI do for me: Evaluating Machine Learning Interpretations in Cooperative Play](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.09648/) (2018)
- [Do People Engage Cognitively with AI? Impact of AI Assistance on Incidental Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.05402/) (2022)
- [Designing AI for Trust and Collaboration in Time-Constrained Medical Decisions: A Sociotechnical Lens](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.00593/) (2021)
- [ViCE: Visual Counterfactual Explanations for Machine Learning Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.02428/) (2020)
- [Who Goes First? Influences of Human-AI Workflow on Decision Making in Clinical Imaging](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.09696/) (2022)
- [Why Does My Model Fail? Contrastive Local Explanations for Retail Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.00085/) (2019)
- [Assessing the Impact of Automated Suggestions on Decision Making: Domain Experts Mediate Model Errors but Take Less Initiative](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.04725/) (2021)
- [Human Interpretation of Saliency-based Explanation Over Text](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.11569/) (2022)
- [Increasing the Speed and Accuracy of Data LabelingThrough an AI Assisted Interface](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.04122/) (2021)
- [Leveraging Rationales to Improve Human Task Performance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.04202/) (2020)

## Built on by (most cited first, 9 of 9)

- [Does More Advice Help? The Effects of Second Opinions in AI-Assisted Decision Making](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.07058/) (2024)
- [Modulating Language Model Experiences through Frictions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.12804/) (2024)
- [Utilizing Human Behavior Modeling to Manipulate Explanations in AI-Assisted Decision Making: The Good, the Bad, and the Scary](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.10461/) (2024)
- [From Text to Trust: Empowering AI-assisted Decision Making with Adaptive LLM-powered Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.11919/) (2025)
- [AI Agent Behavioral Science](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.06366/) (2025)
- [Revisiting Rogers' Paradox in the Context of Human-AI Interaction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.10476/) (2025)
- [Achieving Trustworthy Real-Time Decision Support Systems with Low-Latency Interpretable AI Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.20018/) (2025)
- [Human-LLM Collaborative Feature Engineering for Tabular Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.21060/) (2026)
- [Unequal Uncertainty: Rethinking Algorithmic Interventions for Mitigating Discrimination from AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.07872/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

With the rapid development of AI-based decision aids, different forms of AI assistance have been increasingly integrated into the human decision making processes. To best support humans in decision making, it is essential to quantitatively understand how diverse forms of AI assistance influence humans' decision making behavior. To this end, much of the current research focuses on the end-to-end prediction of human behavior using ``black-box'' models, often lacking interpretations of the nuanced ways in which AI assistance impacts the human decision making process. Meanwhile, methods that prioritize the interpretability of human behavior predictions are often tailored for one specific form of AI assistance, making adaptations to other forms of assistance difficult. In this paper, we propose a computational framework that can provide an interpretable characterization of the influence of different forms of AI assistance on decision makers in AI-assisted decision making. By conceptualizing AI assistance as the ``em nudge'' in human decision making processes, our approach centers around modelling how different forms of AI assistance modify humans' strategy in weighing different information in making their decisions. Evaluations on behavior data collected from real human decision makers show that the proposed framework outperforms various baselines in accurately predicting human behavior in AI-assisted decision making. Based on the proposed framework, we further provide insights into how individuals with different cognitive styles are nudged by AI assistance differently.
