# Enhancing the Accuracy of Predictors of Activity Sequences of Business Processes

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2312.05560 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.05560/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 8 of its 23 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 9 Dec 2023.

## Builds on (most cited first, 8 of 8)

- [Very Deep Convolutional Networks for Large-Scale Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1409.1556/) (2014)
- [The Curious Case of Neural Text Degeneration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.09751/) (2019)
- [Multi-Task Learning Using Uncertainty to Weigh Losses for Scene Geometry and Semantics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.07115/) (2017)
- [Hierarchical Neural Story Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.04833/) (2018)
- [Predictive Business Process Monitoring with LSTM Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.02130/) (2016)
- [Deep Learning for Predictive Business Process Monitoring: Review and Benchmark](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.13251/) (2020)
- [Survey and cross-benchmark comparison of remaining time prediction methods in business process monitoring](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.02896/) (2018)
- [Predictive Business Process Monitoring via Generative Adversarial Nets: The Case of Next Event Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.11268/) (2020)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [How Will My Business Process Unfold? Predicting Case Suffixes With Start and End Timestamps](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.14536/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Predictive process monitoring is an evolving research field that studies how to train and use predictive models for operational decision-making. One of the problems studied in this field is that of predicting the sequence of upcoming activities in a case up to its completion, a.k.a. the case suffix. The prediction of case suffixes provides input to estimate short-term workloads and execution times under different resource schedules. Existing methods to address this problem often generate suffixes wherein some activities are repeated many times, whereas this pattern is not observed in the data. Closer examination shows that this shortcoming stems from the approach used to sample the successive activity instances to generate a case suffix. Accordingly, the paper introduces a sampling approach aimed at reducing repetitions of activities in the predicted case suffixes. The approach, namely Daemon action, strikes a balance between exploration and exploitation when generating the successive activity instances. We enhance a deep learning approach for case suffix predictions using this sampling approach, and experimentally show that the enhanced approach outperforms the unenhanced ones with respect to control-flow accuracy measures.