# aeons: approximating the end of nested sampling

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2312.00294 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.00294/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 1 Dec 2023.

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Automatic Laplace Collapsed Sampling: Scalable Marginalisation of Latent Parameters via Automatic Differentiation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.26644/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

This paper presents analytic results on the anatomy of nested sampling, from which a technique is developed to estimate the run-time of the algorithm that works for any nested sampling implementation. We test these methods on both toy models and true cosmological nested sampling runs. The method gives an order-of-magnitude prediction of the end point at all times, forecasting the true endpoint within standard error around the halfway point.
