# Challenges for Predictive Modeling with Neural Network Techniques using Error-Prone Dietary Intake Data

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.09338 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.09338/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 10 of its 58 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 15 Nov 2023.

## Builds on (most cited first, 10 of 10)

- [PyTorch: An Imperative Style, High-Performance Deep Learning Library](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.01703/) (2019)
- [Nonparametric regression using deep neural networks with ReLU activation function](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1708.06633/) (2017)
- [Methods for Interpreting and Understanding Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.07979/) (2017)
- [The Expressive Power of Neural Networks: A View from the Width](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.02540/) (2017)
- [Doctor AI: Predicting Clinical Events via Recurrent Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1511.05942/) (2015)
- [Product-based Neural Networks for User Response Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.00144/) (2016)
- [Crop Yield Prediction Using Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.02860/) (2019)
- [Neural networks for the prediction organic chemistry reactions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1608.06296/) (2016)
- [An Efficient Convolutional Neural Network for Coronary Heart Disease Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.00489/) (2019)
- [Measurement error models: from nonparametric methods to deep neural networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.07498/) (2020)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Dietary intake data are routinely drawn upon to explore diet-health relationships. However, these data are often subject to measurement error, distorting the true relationships. Beyond measurement error, there are likely complex synergistic and sometimes antagonistic interactions between different dietary components, complicating the relationships between diet and health outcomes. Flexible models are required to capture the nuance that these complex interactions introduce. This complexity makes research on diet-health relationships an appealing candidate for the application of machine learning techniques, and in particular, neural networks. Neural networks are computational models that are able to capture highly complex, nonlinear relationships so long as sufficient data are available. While these models have been applied in many domains, the impacts of measurement error on the performance of predictive modeling has not been systematically investigated. However, dietary intake data are typically collected using self-report methods and are prone to large amounts of measurement error. In this work, we demonstrate the ways in which measurement error erodes the performance of neural networks, and illustrate the care that is required for leveraging these models in the presence of error. We demonstrate the role that sample size and replicate measurements play on model performance, indicate a motivation for the investigation of transformations to additivity, and illustrate the caution required to prevent model overfitting. While the past performance of neural networks across various domains make them an attractive candidate for examining diet-health relationships, our work demonstrates that substantial care and further methodological development are both required to observe increased predictive performance when applying these techniques, compared to more traditional statistical procedures.
