# Open-Sourcing Highly Capable Foundation Models: An evaluation of risks, benefits, and alternative methods for pursuing open-source objectives

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.09227 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.09227/

## Key facts

- Cited by 31 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 59 of its 218 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 29 Sep 2023.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 59)

- [High-Resolution Image Synthesis with Latent Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.10752/) (2021)
- [LoRA: Low-Rank Adaptation of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.09685/) (2021)
- [Llama 2: Open Foundation and Fine-Tuned Chat Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.09288/) (2023)
- [Measuring Massive Multitask Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.03300/) (2020)
- [Hierarchical Text-Conditional Image Generation with CLIP Latents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.06125/) (2022)
- [On the Opportunities and Risks of Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.07258/) (2021)
- [QLoRA: Efficient Finetuning of Quantized LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.14314/) (2023)
- [Universal and Transferable Adversarial Attacks on Aligned Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.15043/) (2023)
- [Training Compute-Optimal Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.15556/) (2022)
- [Emergent Abilities of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.07682/) (2022)
- [Energy and Policy Considerations for Deep Learning in NLP](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.02243/) (2019)
- [Self-Supervised Learning from Images with a Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.08243/) (2023)
- [Red Teaming Language Models with Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.03286/) (2022)
- [Ethical and social risks of harm from Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.04359/) (2021)
- [Distilling Step-by-Step! Outperforming Larger Language Models with Less Training Data and Smaller Model Sizes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.02301/) (2023)
- [Red Teaming Language Models to Reduce Harms: Methods, Scaling Behaviors, and Lessons Learned](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.07858/) (2022)
- [ChemCrow: Augmenting large-language models with chemistry tools](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.05376/) (2023)
- [Carbon Emissions and Large Neural Network Training](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.10350/) (2021)
- [Release Strategies and the Social Impacts of Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.09203/) (2019)
- [Larger language models do in-context learning differently](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.03846/) (2023)
- [Closing the AI Accountability Gap: Defining an End-to-End Framework for Internal Algorithmic Auditing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.00973/) (2020)
- [Unsolved Problems in ML Safety](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.13916/) (2021)
- [Red-Teaming the Stable Diffusion Safety Filter](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.04610/) (2022)
- [The False Promise of Imitating Proprietary LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.15717/) (2023)
- [Will we run out of data? Limits of LLM scaling based on human-generated data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.04325/) (2022)
- [Model evaluation for extreme risks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.15324/) (2023)
- [The Malicious Use of Artificial Intelligence: Forecasting, Prevention, and Mitigation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.07228/) (2018)
- [Toward Trustworthy AI Development: Mechanisms for Supporting Verifiable Claims](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.07213/) (2020)
- [Compute Trends Across Three Eras of Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.05924/) (2022)
- [Generative Language Models and Automated Influence Operations: Emerging Threats and Potential Mitigations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.04246/) (2023)

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 31)

- [Black-Box Access is Insufficient for Rigorous AI Audits](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.14446/) (2024)
- [A Comprehensive Survey in LLM(-Agent) Full Stack Safety: Data, Training and Deployment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.15585/) (2025)
- [On the Societal Impact of Open Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.07918/) (2024)
- [Language Models Resist Alignment: Evidence From Data Compression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.06144/) (2024)
- [Will releasing the weights of future large language models grant widespread access to pandemic agents?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.18233/) (2023)
- [The Model Openness Framework: Promoting Completeness and Openness for Reproducibility, Transparency, and Usability in Artificial Intelligence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.13784/) (2024)
- [Can Editing LLMs Inject Harm?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.20224/) (2024)
- [The AI Community Building the Future? A Quantitative Analysis of Development Activity on Hugging Face Hub](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.13058/) (2024)
- [The Open Source Advantage in Large Language Models (LLMs)](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.12004/) (2024)
- [Near to Mid-term Risks and Opportunities of Open-Source Generative AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.17047/) (2024)
- [Risks and Opportunities of Open-Source Generative AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.08597/) (2024)
- [Towards Publicly Accountable Frontier LLMs: Building an External Scrutiny Ecosystem under the ASPIRE Framework](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.14711/) (2023)
- [Hazards from Increasingly Accessible Fine-Tuning of Downloadable Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.14751/) (2023)
- [Towards Responsible Governance of Biological Design Tools](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.15936/) (2023)
- [Why Companies "Democratise" Artificial Intelligence: The Case of Open Source Software Donations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.17876/) (2024)
- [Risk Sources and Risk Management Measures in Support of Standards for General-Purpose AI Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.23472/) (2024)
- [Technical Requirements for Halting Dangerous AI Activities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.09801/) (2025)
- [The Safety Gap Toolkit: Evaluating Hidden Dangers of Open-Source Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.11544/) (2025)
- [From Firewalls to Frontiers: AI Red-Teaming is a Domain-Specific Evolution of Cyber Red-Teaming](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.11398/) (2025)
- [PRISM: A Design Framework for Open-Source Foundation Model Safety](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.10415/) (2024)
- [Beyond the Cloud: Assessing the Benefits and Drawbacks of Local LLM Deployment for Translators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.23399/) (2025)
- [Strategic commitments shape collective cybersecurity under AI inequality](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.09415/) (2026)
- [A Social Outcomes and Priorities centered (SOP) Framework for AI policy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.08241/) (2024)
- [Considerations Influencing Offense-Defense Dynamics From Artificial Intelligence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.04029/) (2024)
- [Opening the Scope of Openness in AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.06464/) (2025)
- [Unbounded Harms, Bounded Law: Liability in the Age of Borderless AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.12646/) (2026)
- [A governance horizon for ethical-use constraints in open-weight AI models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.24383/) (2026)
- [Is Decentralized AI Governable? From Regulative Policy to Constitutive Protocol](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.24538/) (2026)
- [Toward Open Weight Models Without Risks: Separating Public and Private Capabilities in LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.21638/) (2026)
- [FLARE-AI: Flaw Reporting for AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.31567/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Recent decisions by leading AI labs to either open-source their models or to restrict access to their models has sparked debate about whether, and how, increasingly capable AI models should be shared. Open-sourcing in AI typically refers to making model architecture and weights freely and publicly accessible for anyone to modify, study, build on, and use. This offers advantages such as enabling external oversight, accelerating progress, and decentralizing control over AI development and use. However, it also presents a growing potential for misuse and unintended consequences. This paper offers an examination of the risks and benefits of open-sourcing highly capable foundation models. While open-sourcing has historically provided substantial net benefits for most software and AI development processes, we argue that for some highly capable foundation models likely to be developed in the near future, open-sourcing may pose sufficiently extreme risks to outweigh the benefits. In such a case, highly capable foundation models should not be open-sourced, at least not initially. Alternative strategies, including non-open-source model sharing options, are explored. The paper concludes with recommendations for developers, standard-setting bodies, and governments for establishing safe and responsible model sharing practices and preserving open-source benefits where safe.
