# Uncertainty Estimation on Sequential Labeling via Uncertainty Transmission

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.08726 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.08726/

## Key facts

- Cited by 10 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 24 of its 43 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 15 Nov 2023.

## Builds on (most cited first, 24 of 24)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [BERT: Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.04805/) (2018)
- [Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02142/) (2015)
- [A Baseline for Detecting Misclassified and Out-of-Distribution Examples in Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1610.02136/) (2016)
- [Variational Inference with Normalizing Flows](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1505.05770/) (2015)
- [Evidential Deep Learning to Quantify Classification Uncertainty](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.01768/) (2018)
- [A Simple Baseline for Bayesian Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.02476/) (2019)
- [Predictive Uncertainty Estimation via Prior Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.10501/) (2018)
- [Neural Architectures for Named Entity Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1603.01360/) (2016)
- [Bidirectional LSTM-CRF Models for Sequence Tagging](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1508.01991/) (2015)
- [Simple and Principled Uncertainty Estimation with Deterministic Deep Learning via Distance Awareness](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.10108/) (2020)
- [Deep Evidential Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.02600/) (2019)
- [Named Entity Recognition with Bidirectional LSTM-CNNs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1511.08308/) (2015)
- [Deep Deterministic Uncertainty: A Simple Baseline](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.11582/) (2021)
- [A Unified MRC Framework for Named Entity Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.11476/) (2019)
- [Posterior Network: Uncertainty Estimation without OOD Samples via Density-Based Pseudo-Counts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.09239/) (2020)
- [Practical Deep Learning with Bayesian Principles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.02506/) (2019)
- [Uncertainty Aware Semi-Supervised Learning on Graph Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.12783/) (2020)
- [Graph Posterior Network: Bayesian Predictive Uncertainty for Node Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.14012/) (2021)
- [Adversarial Dropout for Supervised and Semi-supervised Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.03631/) (2017)
- [Uncertainty-Aware Reliable Text Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.07114/) (2021)
- [Mitigating Uncertainty in Document Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.07590/) (2019)
- [Zero-Shot End-to-End Spoken Language Understanding via Cross-Modal Selective Self-Training](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.12793/) (2023)
- [Improvements on Uncertainty Quantification for Node Classification via Distance-Based Regularization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.05795/) (2023)

## Built on by (most cited first, 10 of 10)

- [A Survey on Uncertainty Quantification of Large Language Models: Taxonomy, Open Research Challenges, and Future Directions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.05563/) (2024)
- [A Survey of Uncertainty Estimation in LLMs: Theory Meets Practice](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.15326/) (2024)
- [A Head to Predict and a Head to Question: Pre-trained Uncertainty Quantification Heads for Hallucination Detection in LLM Outputs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.08200/) (2025)
- [Token-Level Density-Based Uncertainty Quantification Methods for Eliciting Truthfulness of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.14427/) (2025)
- [Efficient Hallucination Detection for LLMs Using Uncertainty-Aware Attention Heads](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.20045/) (2025)
- [Unconditional Truthfulness: Learning Unconditional Uncertainty of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.10692/) (2024)
- [Semi-Supervised Dialogue Abstractive Summarization via High-Quality Pseudolabel Selection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.04073/) (2024)
- [Predictive Uncertainty Quantification for Bird's Eye View Segmentation: A Benchmark and Novel Loss Function](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.20986/) (2024)
- [Efficient Nearest Neighbor based Uncertainty Estimation for Natural Language Processing Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.02138/) (2024)
- [Uncertainty Quantification for Named Entity Recognition via Full-Sequence and Subsequence Conformal Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.16999/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Sequential labeling is a task predicting labels for each token in a sequence, such as Named Entity Recognition (NER). NER tasks aim to extract entities and predict their labels given a text, which is important in information extraction. Although previous works have shown great progress in improving NER performance, uncertainty estimation on NER (UE-NER) is still underexplored but essential. This work focuses on UE-NER, which aims to estimate uncertainty scores for the NER predictions. Previous uncertainty estimation models often overlook two unique characteristics of NER: the connection between entities (i.e., one entity embedding is learned based on the other ones) and wrong span cases in the entity extraction subtask. Therefore, we propose a Sequential Labeling Posterior Network (SLPN) to estimate uncertainty scores for the extracted entities, considering uncertainty transmitted from other tokens. Moreover, we have defined an evaluation strategy to address the specificity of wrong-span cases. Our SLPN has achieved significant improvements on three datasets, such as a 5.54-point improvement in AUPR on the MIT-Restaurant dataset. Our code is available at urlhttps://github.com/he159ok/UncSeqLabelingSLPN.
