# FourierGNN: Rethinking Multivariate Time Series Forecasting from a Pure Graph Perspective

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.06190 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.06190/

## Key facts

- Cited by 127 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 27 of its 39 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 10 Nov 2023.

## Builds on (most cited first, 27 of 27)

- [PyTorch: An Imperative Style, High-Performance Deep Learning Library](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.01703/) (2019)
- [Semi-Supervised Classification with Graph Convolutional Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1609.02907/) (2016)
- [Graph Attention Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.10903/) (2017)
- [Learning Phrase Representations using RNN Encoder-Decoder for Statistical Machine Translation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1406.1078/) (2014)
- [Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.07436/) (2020)
- [Autoformer: Decomposition Transformers with Auto-Correlation for Long-Term Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.13008/) (2021)
- [Reformer: The Efficient Transformer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.04451/) (2020)
- [An Empirical Evaluation of Generic Convolutional and Recurrent Networks for Sequence Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.01271/) (2018)
- [FEDformer: Frequency Enhanced Decomposed Transformer for Long-term Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.12740/) (2022)
- [Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks: A Deep Learning Framework for Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.04875/) (2017)
- [DeepAR: Probabilistic Forecasting with Autoregressive Recurrent Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1704.04110/) (2017)
- [Modeling Long- and Short-Term Temporal Patterns with Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.07015/) (2017)
- [Graph WaveNet for Deep Spatial-Temporal Graph Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.00121/) (2019)
- [Connecting the Dots: Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Graph Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.11650/) (2020)
- [Adaptive Graph Convolutional Recurrent Network for Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.02842/) (2020)
- [The UCR Time Series Archive](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.07758/) (2018)
- [Spectral Temporal Graph Neural Network for Multivariate Time-series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.07719/) (2021)
- [Think Globally, Act Locally: A Deep Neural Network Approach to High-Dimensional Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.03806/) (2019)
- [FiLM: Frequency improved Legendre Memory Model for Long-term Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.08897/) (2022)
- [CoST: Contrastive Learning of Disentangled Seasonal-Trend Representations for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.01575/) (2022)
- [Connecting the Dots: Identifying Network Structure via Graph Signal Processing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.13066/) (2018)
- [Dish-TS: A General Paradigm for Alleviating Distribution Shift in Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.14829/) (2023)
- [Multilevel Wavelet Decomposition Network for Interpretable Time Series Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.08946/) (2018)
- [A Survey on Deep Learning based Time Series Analysis with Frequency Transformation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.02173/) (2023)
- [EdgeNets:Edge Varying Graph Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.07620/) (2020)
- [DEPTS: Deep Expansion Learning for Periodic Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.07681/) (2022)
- [Learning Informative Representation for Fairness-aware Multivariate Time-series Forecasting: A Group-based Perspective](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.11535/) (2023)

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 127)

- [SiMBA: Simplified Mamba-Based Architecture for Vision and Multivariate Time series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.15360/) (2024)
- [FreDF: Learning to Forecast in the Frequency Domain](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.02399/) (2024)
- [A Comprehensive Survey of Deep Learning for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting: A Channel Strategy Perspective](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.10721/) (2025)
- [Rethinking Irregular Time Series Forecasting: A Simple yet Effective Baseline](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.11250/) (2025)
- [FilterNet: Harnessing Frequency Filters for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.01623/) (2024)
- [Revitalizing Multivariate Time Series Forecasting: Learnable Decomposition with Inter-Series Dependencies and Intra-Series Variations Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.12694/) (2024)
- [Adaptive Multi-Scale Decomposition Framework for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.03751/) (2024)
- [Revisiting Multimodal Emotion Recognition in Conversation from the Perspective of Graph Spectrum](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.17862/) (2024)
- [Rethinking Channel Dependence for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting: Learning from Leading Indicators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.17548/) (2024)
- [Temporal Query Network for Efficient Multivariate Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.12917/) (2025)
- [OpenCity: Open Spatio-Temporal Foundation Models for Traffic Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.10269/) (2024)
- [TimeOmni-1: Incentivizing Complex Reasoning with Time Series in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.24803/) (2025)
- [Amplifier: Bringing Attention to Neglected Low-Energy Components in Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.17216/) (2025)
- [OLinear: A Linear Model for Time Series Forecasting in Orthogonally Transformed Domain](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.08550/) (2025)
- [Time-o1: Time-Series Forecasting Needs Transformed Label Alignment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.17847/) (2025)
- [CrossLinear: Plug-and-Play Cross-Correlation Embedding for Time Series Forecasting with Exogenous Variables](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.23116/) (2025)
- [GinAR: An End-To-End Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Model Suitable for Variable Missing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.11333/) (2024)
- [Merlin: Multi-View Representation Learning for Robust Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Unfixed Missing Rates](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.12459/) (2025)
- [FreEformer: Frequency Enhanced Transformer for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.13989/) (2025)
- [HyperIMTS: Hypergraph Neural Network for Irregular Multivariate Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.17431/) (2025)
- [MambaTS: Improved Selective State Space Models for Long-term Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.16440/) (2024)
- [Agentic Retrieval-Augmented Generation for Time Series Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.14484/) (2024)
- [Deep Frequency Derivative Learning for Non-stationary Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.00502/) (2024)
- [Rethinking the Power of Timestamps for Robust Time Series Forecasting: A Global-Local Fusion Perspective](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.18696/) (2024)
- [Unified Spatial-Temporal Edge-Enhanced Graph Networks for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.02504/) (2025)
- [DistDF: Time-Series Forecasting Needs Joint-Distribution Wasserstein Alignment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.24574/) (2025)
- [Multimodal Emotion Recognition in Conversations: A Survey of Methods, Trends, Challenges and Prospects](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.20511/) (2025)
- [Time Series Analysis in Frequency Domain: A Survey of Open Challenges, Opportunities and Benchmarks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.07099/) (2025)
- [Frequency Spectrum is More Effective for Multimodal Representation and Fusion: A Multimodal Spectrum Rumor Detector](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.11023/) (2023)
- [Spatiotemporal Covariance Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.10068/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting has shown great importance in numerous industries. Current state-of-the-art graph neural network (GNN)-based forecasting methods usually require both graph networks (e.g., GCN) and temporal networks (e.g., LSTM) to capture inter-series (spatial) dynamics and intra-series (temporal) dependencies, respectively. However, the uncertain compatibility of the two networks puts an extra burden on handcrafted model designs. Moreover, the separate spatial and temporal modeling naturally violates the unified spatiotemporal inter-dependencies in real world, which largely hinders the forecasting performance. To overcome these problems, we explore an interesting direction of directly applying graph networks and rethink MTS forecasting from a pure graph perspective. We first define a novel data structure, hypervariate graph, which regards each series value (regardless of variates or timestamps) as a graph node, and represents sliding windows as space-time fully-connected graphs. This perspective considers spatiotemporal dynamics unitedly and reformulates classic MTS forecasting into the predictions on hypervariate graphs. Then, we propose a novel architecture Fourier Graph Neural Network (FourierGNN) by stacking our proposed Fourier Graph Operator (FGO) to perform matrix multiplications in Fourier space. FourierGNN accommodates adequate expressiveness and achieves much lower complexity, which can effectively and efficiently accomplish the forecasting. Besides, our theoretical analysis reveals FGO's equivalence to graph convolutions in the time domain, which further verifies the validity of FourierGNN. Extensive experiments on seven datasets have demonstrated our superior performance with higher efficiency and fewer parameters compared with state-of-the-art methods.