# Large Language Models are Zero Shot Hypothesis Proposers

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.05965 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.05965/

## Key facts

- Cited by 45 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 31 of its 42 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 10 Nov 2023.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 31)

- [Chain-of-Thought Prompting Elicits Reasoning in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.11903/) (2022)
- [ReAct: Synergizing Reasoning and Acting in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.03629/) (2022)
- [Reflexion: Language Agents with Verbal Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.11366/) (2023)
- [Toolformer: Language Models Can Teach Themselves to Use Tools](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.04761/) (2023)
- [Generative Agents: Interactive Simulacra of Human Behavior](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.03442/) (2023)
- [Tree of Thoughts: Deliberate Problem Solving with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.10601/) (2023)
- [Self-Instruct: Aligning Language Models with Self-Generated Instructions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.10560/) (2022)
- [G-Eval: NLG Evaluation using GPT-4 with Better Human Alignment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.16634/) (2023)
- [MetaGPT: Meta Programming for A Multi-Agent Collaborative Framework](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.00352/) (2023)
- [WebGPT: Browser-assisted question-answering with human feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.09332/) (2021)
- [The Rise and Potential of Large Language Model Based Agents: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.07864/) (2023)
- [Gorilla: Large Language Model Connected with Massive APIs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.15334/) (2023)
- [ChatGPT Outperforms Crowd-Workers for Text-Annotation Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.15056/) (2023)
- [Galactica: A Large Language Model for Science](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.09085/) (2022)
- [Siren's Song in the AI Ocean: A Survey on Hallucination in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.01219/) (2023)
- [ChemCrow: Augmenting large-language models with chemistry tools](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.05376/) (2023)
- [A Survey of Hallucination in Large Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.05922/) (2023)
- [On the Planning Abilities of Large Language Models : A Critical Investigation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.15771/) (2023)
- [Ghost in the Minecraft: Generally Capable Agents for Open-World Environments via Large Language Models with Text-based Knowledge and Memory](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.17144/) (2023)
- [MedAlpaca -- An Open-Source Collection of Medical Conversational AI Models and Training Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.08247/) (2023)
- [Auto-GPT for Online Decision Making: Benchmarks and Additional Opinions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.02224/) (2023)
- [Improving Language Model Negotiation with Self-Play and In-Context Learning from AI Feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.10142/) (2023)
- [SciMON: Scientific Inspiration Machines Optimized for Novelty](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.14259/) (2023)
- [ChatDB: Augmenting LLMs with Databases as Their Symbolic Memory](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.03901/) (2023)
- [Emergent autonomous scientific research capabilities of large language models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.05332/) (2023)
- [Large Language Models for Automated Open-domain Scientific Hypotheses Discovery](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.02726/) (2023)
- [GFlowNets for AI-Driven Scientific Discovery](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.00615/) (2023)
- [Goal Driven Discovery of Distributional Differences via Language Descriptions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.14233/) (2023)
- [PaD: Program-aided Distillation Can Teach Small Models Reasoning Better than Chain-of-thought Fine-tuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.13888/) (2023)
- [The Life Cycle of Knowledge in Big Language Models: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.07616/) (2023)

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 45)

- [LLM-SR: Scientific Equation Discovery via Programming with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.18400/) (2024)
- [Chain of Ideas: Revolutionizing Research Via Novel Idea Development with LLM Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.13185/) (2024)
- [The BiGGen Bench: A Principled Benchmark for Fine-grained Evaluation of Language Models with Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.05761/) (2024)
- [Agentic AI for Scientific Discovery: A Survey of Progress, Challenges, and Future Directions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.08979/) (2025)
- [From AI for Science to Agentic Science: A Survey on Autonomous Scientific Discovery](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.14111/) (2025)
- [MOOSE-Chem: Large Language Models for Rediscovering Unseen Chemistry Scientific Hypotheses](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.07076/) (2024)
- [Hypothesis Generation with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.04326/) (2024)
- [Paper2Code: Automating Code Generation from Scientific Papers in Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.17192/) (2025)
- [MLR-Copilot: Autonomous Machine Learning Research based on Large Language Models Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.14033/) (2024)
- [A Survey of Agentic Reasoning for Large Language Models: Towards Recursively Self-Improving and Collective Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.12538/) (2026)
- [IdeaSynth: Iterative Research Idea Development Through Evolving and Composing Idea Facets with Literature-Grounded Feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.04025/) (2024)
- [Transforming Science with Large Language Models: A Survey on AI-assisted Scientific Discovery, Experimentation, Content Generation, and Evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.05151/) (2025)
- [Position: Multimodal Large Language Models Can Significantly Advance Scientific Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.02871/) (2025)
- [InternAgent-1.5: A Unified Agentic Framework for Long-Horizon Autonomous Scientific Discovery](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.08990/) (2026)
- [Dolphin: Moving Towards Closed-loop Auto-research through Thinking, Practice, and Feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.03916/) (2025)
- [Sparks of Science: Hypothesis Generation Using Structured Paper Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.12976/) (2025)
- [AIGS: Generating Science from AI-Powered Automated Falsification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.11910/) (2024)
- [LLMs can Realize Combinatorial Creativity: Generating Creative Ideas via LLMs for Scientific Research](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.14141/) (2024)
- [MOOSE-Chem2: Exploring LLM Limits in Fine-Grained Scientific Hypothesis Discovery via Hierarchical Search](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.19209/) (2025)
- [How Far Are AI Scientists from Changing the World?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.23276/) (2025)
- [Fast and Slow Generating: An Empirical Study on Large and Small Language Models Collaborative Decoding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.12295/) (2024)
- [From Reproduction to Replication: Evaluating Research Agents with Progressive Code Masking](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.19724/) (2025)
- [Autonomous Agents for Scientific Discovery: Orchestrating Scientists, Language, Code, and Physics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.09901/) (2025)
- [Toward Reliable Scientific Hypothesis Generation: Evaluating Truthfulness and Hallucination in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.14599/) (2025)
- [Towards Building Specialized Generalist AI with System 1 and System 2 Fusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.08642/) (2024)
- [Automating Traffic Model Enhancement with AI Research Agent](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.16876/) (2024)
- [Anomaly Detection and Generation with Diffusion Models: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.09368/) (2025)
- [Creativity in AI: Progresses and Challenges](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.17218/) (2024)
- [Advancing the Scientific Method with Large Language Models: From Hypothesis to Discovery](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.16477/) (2025)
- [Mimicking the Physicist's Eye:A VLM-centric Approach for Physics Formula Discovery](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.17380/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Significant scientific discoveries have driven the progress of human civilisation. The explosion of scientific literature and data has created information barriers across disciplines that have slowed the pace of scientific discovery. Large Language Models (LLMs) hold a wealth of global and interdisciplinary knowledge that promises to break down these information barriers and foster a new wave of scientific discovery. However, the potential of LLMs for scientific discovery has not been formally explored. In this paper, we start from investigating whether LLMs can propose scientific hypotheses. To this end, we construct a dataset consist of background knowledge and hypothesis pairs from biomedical literature. The dataset is divided into training, seen, and unseen test sets based on the publication date to control visibility. We subsequently evaluate the hypothesis generation capabilities of various top-tier instructed models in zero-shot, few-shot, and fine-tuning settings, including both closed and open-source LLMs. Additionally, we introduce an LLM-based multi-agent cooperative framework with different role designs and external tools to enhance the capabilities related to generating hypotheses. We also design four metrics through a comprehensive review to evaluate the generated hypotheses for both ChatGPT-based and human evaluations. Through experiments and analyses, we arrive at the following findings: 1) LLMs surprisingly generate untrained yet validated hypotheses from testing literature. 2) Increasing uncertainty facilitates candidate generation, potentially enhancing zero-shot hypothesis generation capabilities. These findings strongly support the potential of LLMs as catalysts for new scientific discoveries and guide further exploration.
