# A Deep Neural Network -- Mechanistic Hybrid Model to Predict Pharmacokinetics in Rat

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.09167 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.09167/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 19 of its 46 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 13 Oct 2023.

## Builds on (most cited first, 19 of 19)

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- [Efficient Hyperparameter Optimization of Deep Learning Algorithms Using Deterministic RBF Surrogates](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1607.08316/) (2016)
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## Abstract (arXiv)

An important aspect in the development of small molecules as drugs or agro-chemicals is their systemic availability after intravenous and oral administration. The prediction of the systemic availability from the chemical structure of a potential candidate is highly desirable, as it allows to focus the drug or agrochemical development on compounds with a favorable kinetic profile. However, such pre-dictions are challenging as the availability is the result of the complex interplay between molecular properties, biology and physiology and training data is rare. In this work we improve the hybrid model developed earlier [1]. We reduce the median fold change error for the total oral exposure from 2.85 to 2.35 and for intravenous administration from 1.95 to 1.62. This is achieved by training on a larger data set, improving the neural network architecture as well as the parametrization of mechanistic model. Further, we extend our approach to predict additional endpoints and to handle different covariates, like sex and dosage form. In contrast to a pure machine learning model, our model is able to predict new end points on which it has not been trained. We demonstrate this feature by predicting the exposure over the first 24h, while the model has only been trained on the total exposure.
