# A Symmetry-Aware Exploration of Bayesian Neural Network Posteriors

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.08287 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.08287/

## Key facts

- Cited by 12 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 59 of its 108 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 12 Oct 2023.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 59)

- [Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.03385/) (2015)
- [Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6980/) (2014)
- [An Image is Worth 16x16 Words: Transformers for Image Recognition at Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.11929/) (2020)
- [PyTorch: An Imperative Style, High-Performance Deep Learning Library](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.01703/) (2019)
- [Very Deep Convolutional Networks for Large-Scale Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1409.1556/) (2014)
- [Batch Normalization: Accelerating Deep Network Training by Reducing Internal Covariate Shift](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1502.03167/) (2015)
- [Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02142/) (2015)
- [Fashion-MNIST: a Novel Image Dataset for Benchmarking Machine Learning Algorithms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1708.07747/) (2017)
- [Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.01474/) (2016)
- [Convex optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.01946/) (2021)
- [Optuna: A Next-generation Hyperparameter Optimization Framework](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.10902/) (2019)
- [A Baseline for Detecting Misclassified and Out-of-Distribution Examples in Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1610.02136/) (2016)
- [What Uncertainties Do We Need in Bayesian Deep Learning for Computer Vision?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.04977/) (2017)
- [Describing Textures in the Wild](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1311.3618/) (2013)
- [Can You Trust Your Model's Uncertainty? Evaluating Predictive Uncertainty Under Dataset Shift](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.02530/) (2019)
- [Visualizing the Loss Landscape of Neural Nets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1712.09913/) (2017)
- [Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty in Machine Learning: An Introduction to Concepts and Methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.09457/) (2019)
- [A Survey of Uncertainty in Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.03342/) (2021)
- [CVXPY: A Python-Embedded Modeling Language for Convex Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1603.00943/) (2016)
- [Loss Surfaces, Mode Connectivity, and Fast Ensembling of DNNs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.10026/) (2018)
- [A Simple Baseline for Bayesian Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.02476/) (2019)
- [Variational Dropout and the Local Reparameterization Trick](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02557/) (2015)
- [Bayesian Deep Learning and a Probabilistic Perspective of Generalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.08791/) (2020)
- [Deep Ensembles: A Loss Landscape Perspective](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.02757/) (2019)
- [BatchEnsemble: An Alternative Approach to Efficient Ensemble and Lifelong Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.06715/) (2020)
- [Laplace Redux -- Effortless Bayesian Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.14806/) (2021)
- [Stochastic Gradient Hamiltonian Monte Carlo](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1402.4102/) (2014)
- [Essentially No Barriers in Neural Network Energy Landscape](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.00885/) (2018)
- [What Are Bayesian Neural Network Posteriors Really Like?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.14421/) (2021)
- [Probabilistic Backpropagation for Scalable Learning of Bayesian Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1502.05336/) (2015)

## Built on by (most cited first, 12 of 12)

- [Symmetry in Neural Network Parameter Spaces](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.13018/) (2025)
- [The Empirical Impact of Neural Parameter Symmetries, or Lack Thereof](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.20231/) (2024)
- [Make Me a BNN: A Simple Strategy for Estimating Bayesian Uncertainty from Pre-trained Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.15297/) (2023)
- [Towards Understanding Why Label Smoothing Degrades Selective Classification and How to Fix It](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.14715/) (2024)
- [Variational Inference Failures Under Model Symmetries: Permutation Invariant Posteriors for Bayesian Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.05496/) (2024)
- [Improving Semantic Uncertainty Quantification in LVLMs with Semantic Gaussian Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.14177/) (2025)
- [On the Interplay of Priors and Overparametrization in Bayesian Neural Network Posteriors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.22030/) (2026)
- [On the Epistemic Uncertainty of Overparametrized Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.25234/) (2026)
- [Scaling Laws for Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.09648/) (2025)
- [Last Layer Hamiltonian Monte Carlo](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.08905/) (2025)
- [Constructive Disintegration and Conditional Modes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.00617/) (2025)
- [Leveraging Visual Signals for Robust Token-Level Uncertainty in Vision-Language Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.27136/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

The distribution of the weights of modern deep neural networks (DNNs) - crucial for uncertainty quantification and robustness - is an eminently complex object due to its extremely high dimensionality. This paper proposes one of the first large-scale explorations of the posterior distribution of deep Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs), expanding its study to real-world vision tasks and architectures. Specifically, we investigate the optimal approach for approximating the posterior, analyze the connection between posterior quality and uncertainty quantification, delve into the impact of modes on the posterior, and explore methods for visualizing the posterior. Moreover, we uncover weight-space symmetries as a critical aspect for understanding the posterior. To this extent, we develop an in-depth assessment of the impact of both permutation and scaling symmetries that tend to obfuscate the Bayesian posterior. While the first type of transformation is known for duplicating modes, we explore the relationship between the latter and L2 regularization, challenging previous misconceptions. Finally, to help the community improve our understanding of the Bayesian posterior, we will shortly release the first large-scale checkpoint dataset, including thousands of real-world models and our codes.
