# Federated Short-Term Load Forecasting with Personalization Layers for Heterogeneous Clients

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2309.13194 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.13194/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 12 of its 39 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 22 Sep 2023.

## Builds on (most cited first, 12 of 12)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6980/) (2014)
- [Federated Learning: Challenges, Methods, and Future Directions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.07873/) (2019)
- [Towards Federated Learning at Scale: System Design](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.01046/) (2019)
- [Federated Learning with Personalization Layers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.00818/) (2019)
- [Exploiting Shared Representations for Personalized Federated Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.07078/) (2021)
- [Layer-wised Model Aggregation for Personalized Federated Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.03993/) (2022)
- [Electrical Load Forecasting Using Edge Computing and Federated Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.11248/) (2022)
- [Short-term Load Forecasting with Deep Residual Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.11956/) (2018)
- [APPFL: Open-Source Software Framework for Privacy-Preserving Federated Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.03672/) (2022)
- [FedEval: A Holistic Evaluation Framework for Federated Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.09655/) (2020)
- [A Secure Federated Learning Framework for Residential Short Term Load Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.14547/) (2022)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [Advances in APPFL: A Comprehensive and Extensible Federated Learning Framework](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.11585/) (2024)
- [Privacy-Preserving Load Forecasting via Personalized Model Obfuscation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.00036/) (2023)
- [Opinion Dynamics-based Coalition Formation for Federated Learning in Heterogeneous IoT Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.19695/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

The advent of smart meters has enabled pervasive collection of energy consumption data for training short-term load forecasting (STLF) models. In response to privacy concerns, federated learning (FL) has been proposed as a privacy-preserving approach for training, but the quality of trained models degrades as client data becomes heterogeneous. In this paper we alleviate this drawback using personalization layers, wherein certain layers of an STLF model in an FL framework are trained exclusively on the clients' own data. To that end, we propose a personalized FL algorithm (PL-FL) enabling FL to handle personalization layers. The PL-FL algorithm is implemented by using the Argonne Privacy-Preserving Federated Learning package. We test the forecast performance of models trained on the NREL ComStock dataset, which contains heterogeneous energy consumption data of multiple commercial buildings. Superior performance of models trained with PL-FL demonstrates that personalization layers enable classical FL algorithms to handle clients with heterogeneous data.
