# Towards Energy-Aware Federated Traffic Prediction for Cellular Networks

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2309.10645 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.10645/

## Key facts

- Cited by 5 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 15 of its 33 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 19 Sep 2023.

## Builds on (most cited first, 15 of 15)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Communication-Efficient Learning of Deep Networks from Decentralized Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.05629/) (2016)
- [Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.13504/) (2022)
- [Energy and Policy Considerations for Deep Learning in NLP](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.02243/) (2019)
- [Green AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.10597/) (2019)
- [Sustainable AI: Environmental Implications, Challenges and Opportunities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.00364/) (2021)
- [Edge Intelligence: Paving the Last Mile of Artificial Intelligence with Edge Computing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.10083/) (2019)
- [Edge Intelligence: The Confluence of Edge Computing and Artificial Intelligence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.00560/) (2019)
- [Federated Neural Collaborative Filtering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.04405/) (2021)
- [Long-Term Mobile Traffic Forecasting Using Deep Spatio-Temporal Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1712.08083/) (2017)
- [Dual Attention-Based Federated Learning for Wireless Traffic Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.05183/) (2021)
- [The Cost of Training Machine Learning Models over Distributed Data Sources](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.07124/) (2022)
- [An Energy and Carbon Footprint Analysis of Distributed and Federated Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.10380/) (2022)
- [Federated Learning for 5G Base Station Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.15220/) (2022)
- [How sustainable is "common" data science in terms of power consumption?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.01934/) (2022)

## Built on by (most cited first, 5 of 5)

- [AI/ML-based Load Prediction in IEEE 802.11 Enterprise Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.07467/) (2023)
- [Parameter-Efficient Quantum-Inspired Fast Weight Programmers for Traffic-Matrix Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.27821/) (2026)
- [Distributed Learning for Wi-Fi AP Load Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.05140/) (2024)
- [Evaluation of Bio-Inspired Models under Different Learning Settings For Energy Efficiency in Network Traffic Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.17565/) (2024)
- [Federated Learning for Early Prediction of EV Charging Demand](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.04993/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Cellular traffic prediction is a crucial activity for optimizing networks in fifth-generation (5G) networks and beyond, as accurate forecasting is essential for intelligent network design, resource allocation and anomaly mitigation. Although machine learning (ML) is a promising approach to effectively predict network traffic, the centralization of massive data in a single data center raises issues regarding confidentiality, privacy and data transfer demands. To address these challenges, federated learning (FL) emerges as an appealing ML training framework which offers high accurate predictions through parallel distributed computations. However, the environmental impact of these methods is often overlooked, which calls into question their sustainability. In this paper, we address the trade-off between accuracy and energy consumption in FL by proposing a novel sustainability indicator that allows assessing the feasibility of ML models. Then, we comprehensively evaluate state-of-the-art deep learning (DL) architectures in a federated scenario using real-world measurements from base station (BS) sites in the area of Barcelona, Spain. Our findings indicate that larger ML models achieve marginally improved performance but have a significant environmental impact in terms of carbon footprint, which make them impractical for real-world applications.
