# Marketing Budget Allocation with Offline Constrained Deep Reinforcement Learning

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2309.02669 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.02669/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 30 of its 44 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 6 Sep 2023.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 30)

- [Playing Atari with Deep Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1312.5602/) (2013)
- [Addressing Function Approximation Error in Actor-Critic Methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.09477/) (2018)
- [Deep Reinforcement Learning with Double Q-learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1509.06461/) (2015)
- [Off-Policy Deep Reinforcement Learning without Exploration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.02900/) (2018)
- [Constrained Policy Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.10528/) (2017)
- [DeepFM: A Factorization-Machine based Neural Network for CTR Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.04247/) (2017)
- [Deep Interest Network for Click-Through Rate Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.06978/) (2017)
- [Reward Constrained Policy Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.11074/) (2018)
- [Risk-Constrained Reinforcement Learning with Percentile Risk Criteria](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.01629/) (2015)
- [Responsive Safety in Reinforcement Learning by PID Lagrangian Methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.03964/) (2020)
- [Batch Policy Learning under Constraints](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.08738/) (2019)
- [Provably Efficient Maximum Entropy Exploration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.02690/) (2018)
- [Reinforcement learning based recommender systems: A survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.06286/) (2021)
- [Constrained Reinforcement Learning Has Zero Duality Gap](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.13393/) (2019)
- [Reward is enough for convex MDPs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.00661/) (2021)
- [Virtual-Taobao: Virtualizing Real-world Online Retail Environment for Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.10000/) (2018)
- [Accelerated Primal-Dual Policy Optimization for Safe Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.06480/) (2018)
- [Budget Constrained Bidding by Model-free Reinforcement Learning in Display Advertising](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.08365/) (2018)
- [Reinforcement Learning with Convex Constraints](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.09323/) (2019)
- [A Primal-Dual Approach to Constrained Markov Decision Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.10895/) (2021)
- [Value constrained model-free continuous control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.04623/) (2019)
- [A Unified Framework for Marketing Budget Allocation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.01128/) (2019)
- [Deep Reinforcement Learning based Recommendation with Explicit User-Item Interactions Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.12027/) (2018)
- [A Survey of Deep Reinforcement Learning in Recommender Systems: A Systematic Review and Future Directions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.03540/) (2021)
- [Model-based Constrained MDP for Budget Allocation in Sequential Incentive Marketing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.01049/) (2023)
- [Smart Pacing for Effective Online Ad Campaign Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.05851/) (2015)
- [Apprenticeship Learning via Frank-Wolfe](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.01679/) (2019)
- [Graph Representation Learning for Merchant Incentive Optimization in Mobile Payment Marketing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.01515/) (2020)
- [Adversarial Learning for Incentive Optimization in Mobile Payment Marketing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.15434/) (2021)
- [Large-Scale Data-Driven Airline Market Influence Maximization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.15012/) (2021)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [CoBA-RL: Capability-Oriented Budget Allocation for Reinforcement Learning in LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.03048/) (2026)
- [Multi-task Offline Reinforcement Learning for Online Advertising in Recommender Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.23090/) (2025)
- [Off-Policy Evaluation and Learning for Survival Outcomes under Censoring](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.22900/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We study the budget allocation problem in online marketing campaigns that utilize previously collected offline data. We first discuss the long-term effect of optimizing marketing budget allocation decisions in the offline setting. To overcome the challenge, we propose a novel game-theoretic offline value-based reinforcement learning method using mixed policies. The proposed method reduces the need to store infinitely many policies in previous methods to only constantly many policies, which achieves nearly optimal policy efficiency, making it practical and favorable for industrial usage. We further show that this method is guaranteed to converge to the optimal policy, which cannot be achieved by previous value-based reinforcement learning methods for marketing budget allocation. Our experiments on a large-scale marketing campaign with tens-of-millions users and more than one billion budget verify the theoretical results and show that the proposed method outperforms various baseline methods. The proposed method has been successfully deployed to serve all the traffic of this marketing campaign.
