# Event-based Dynamic Graph Representation Learning for Patent Application Trend Prediction

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2308.09780 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.09780/

## Key facts

- Cited by 6 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 22 of its 57 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 4 Aug 2023.

## Builds on (most cited first, 22 of 22)

- [BERT: Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.04805/) (2018)
- [Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6980/) (2014)
- [PyTorch: An Imperative Style, High-Performance Deep Learning Library](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.01703/) (2019)
- [Learning Phrase Representations using RNN Encoder-Decoder for Statistical Machine Translation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1406.1078/) (2014)
- [LightGCN: Simplifying and Powering Graph Convolution Network for Recommendation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.02126/) (2020)
- [Graph Convolutional Neural Networks for Web-Scale Recommender Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.01973/) (2018)
- [Graph Neural Networks for Social Recommendation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.07243/) (2019)
- [Session-based Recommendations with Recurrent Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1511.06939/) (2015)
- [Neural Graph Collaborative Filtering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.08108/) (2019)
- [Temporal Graph Networks for Deep Learning on Dynamic Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.10637/) (2020)
- [Inductive Representation Learning on Temporal Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.07962/) (2020)
- [EvolveGCN: Evolving Graph Convolutional Networks for Dynamic Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.10191/) (2019)
- [Representation Learning for Dynamic Graphs: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.11485/) (2019)
- [Towards Better Dynamic Graph Learning: New Architecture and Unified Library](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.13047/) (2023)
- [DeepInf: Social Influence Prediction with Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1807.05560/) (2018)
- [Supervised Reinforcement Learning with Recurrent Neural Network for Dynamic Treatment Recommendation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1807.01473/) (2018)
- [Dynamic Graph Neural Networks for Sequential Recommendation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.07368/) (2021)
- [Neighborhood-aware Scalable Temporal Network Representation Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.01084/) (2022)
- [Patent Claim Generation by Fine-Tuning OpenAI GPT-2](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.02052/) (2019)
- [Patent Retrieval: A Literature Review](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1701.00324/) (2017)
- [Predicting Temporal Sets with Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.11483/) (2020)
- [Patent Citation Dynamics Modeling via Multi-Attention Recurrent Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.10022/) (2019)

## Built on by (most cited first, 6 of 6)

- [Natural Language Processing in the Patent Domain: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.04105/) (2024)
- [Repeat-Aware Neighbor Sampling for Dynamic Graph Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.17473/) (2024)
- [A Survey on Patent Analysis: From NLP to Multimodal AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.08668/) (2024)
- [Self-Evolving Agents as Dynamic Graph Transformation: A Survey and New Perspective](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.18104/) (2026)
- [UniDyG: A Unified and Effective Representation Learning Approach for Large Dynamic Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.16431/) (2025)
- [Adaptive Taxonomy Learning and Historical Patterns Modelling for Patent Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.05385/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Accurate prediction of what types of patents that companies will apply for in the next period of time can figure out their development strategies and help them discover potential partners or competitors in advance. Although important, this problem has been rarely studied in previous research due to the challenges in modelling companies' continuously evolving preferences and capturing the semantic correlations of classification codes. To fill in this gap, we propose an event-based dynamic graph learning framework for patent application trend prediction. In particular, our method is founded on the memorable representations of both companies and patent classification codes. When a new patent is observed, the representations of the related companies and classification codes are updated according to the historical memories and the currently encoded messages. Moreover, a hierarchical message passing mechanism is provided to capture the semantic proximities of patent classification codes by updating their representations along the hierarchical taxonomy. Finally, the patent application trend is predicted by aggregating the representations of the target company and classification codes from static, dynamic, and hierarchical perspectives. Experiments on real-world data demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach under various experimental conditions, and also reveal the abilities of our method in learning semantics of classification codes and tracking technology developing trajectories of companies.
