# LLM4TS: Aligning Pre-Trained LLMs as Data-Efficient Time-Series Forecasters

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2308.08469 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.08469/

## Key facts

- Cited by 129 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 32 of its 54 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 16 Aug 2023.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 32)

- [Language Models are Few-Shot Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.14165/) (2020)
- [LoRA: Low-Rank Adaptation of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.09685/) (2021)
- [LLaMA: Open and Efficient Foundation Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.13971/) (2023)
- [Visual Instruction Tuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.08485/) (2023)
- [Training Compute-Optimal Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.15556/) (2022)
- [Emergent Abilities of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.07682/) (2022)
- [Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.07436/) (2020)
- [A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.14730/) (2022)
- [Autoformer: Decomposition Transformers with Auto-Correlation for Long-Term Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.13008/) (2021)
- [Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.13504/) (2022)
- [FEDformer: Frequency Enhanced Decomposed Transformer for Long-term Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.12740/) (2022)
- [Modeling Long- and Short-Term Temporal Patterns with Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.07015/) (2017)
- [Fine-Tuning can Distort Pretrained Features and Underperform Out-of-Distribution](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.10054/) (2022)
- [One Fits All:Power General Time Series Analysis by Pretrained LM](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.11939/) (2023)
- [Transformers in Time Series: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.07125/) (2022)
- [TS2Vec: Towards Universal Representation of Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.10466/) (2021)
- [Time Series Forecasting With Deep Learning: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.13408/) (2020)
- [Anomaly Transformer: Time Series Anomaly Detection with Association Discrepancy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.02642/) (2021)
- [Time-Series Representation Learning via Temporal and Contextual Contrasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.14112/) (2021)
- [TabLLM: Few-shot Classification of Tabular Data with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.10723/) (2022)
- [Self-Supervised Contrastive Pre-Training For Time Series via Time-Frequency Consistency](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.08496/) (2022)
- [Looped Transformers as Programmable Computers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.13196/) (2023)
- [Unsupervised Representation Learning for Time Series with Temporal Neighborhood Coding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.00750/) (2021)
- [Text-to-Audio Generation using Instruction-Tuned LLM and Latent Diffusion Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.13731/) (2023)
- [Table Meets LLM: Can Large Language Models Understand Structured Table Data? A Benchmark and Empirical Study](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.13062/) (2023)
- [When Do You Need Billions of Words of Pretraining Data?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.04946/) (2020)
- [Unsupervised Time-Series Representation Learning with Iterative Bilinear Temporal-Spectral Fusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.04770/) (2022)
- [Gated Transformer Networks for Multivariate Time Series Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.14438/) (2021)
- [Transformers in Time-series Analysis: A Tutorial](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.01138/) (2022)
- [Unsupervised Representation Learning for Time Series: A Review](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.01578/) (2023)

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 129)

- [Large Models for Time Series and Spatio-Temporal Data: A Survey and Outlook](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.10196/) (2023)
- [SparseTSF: Modeling Long-term Time Series Forecasting with 1k Parameters](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.00946/) (2024)
- [Large Language Model (LLM) for Telecommunications: A Comprehensive Survey on Principles, Key Techniques, and Opportunities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.10825/) (2024)
- [Empowering Time Series Analysis with Large Language Models: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.03182/) (2024)
- [MTBench: A Multimodal Time Series Benchmark for Temporal Reasoning and Question Answering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.16858/) (2025)
- [Time Series Forecasting with LLMs: Understanding and Enhancing Model Capabilities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.10835/) (2024)
- [TS-RAG: Retrieval-Augmented Generation based Time Series Foundation Models are Stronger Zero-Shot Forecaster](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.07649/) (2025)
- [SensorLLM: Aligning Large Language Models with Motion Sensors for Human Activity Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.10624/) (2024)
- [Towards Time Series Reasoning with LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.11376/) (2024)
- [GATGPT: A Pre-trained Large Language Model with Graph Attention Network for Spatiotemporal Imputation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.14332/) (2023)
- [Scaling Law for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.15124/) (2024)
- [LLMSense: Harnessing LLMs for High-level Reasoning Over Spatiotemporal Sensor Traces](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.19857/) (2024)
- [Pushing the Limits of Pre-training for Time Series Forecasting in the CloudOps Domain](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.05063/) (2023)
- [Can LLMs Serve As Time Series Anomaly Detectors?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.03475/) (2024)
- [Towards Modeling Learner Performance with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.14661/) (2024)
- [Decoding Time Series with LLMs: A Multi-Agent Framework for Cross-Domain Annotation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.17462/) (2024)
- [A Survey of Reasoning and Agentic Systems in Time Series with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.11575/) (2025)
- [How Can Time Series Analysis Benefit From Multiple Modalities? A Survey and Outlook](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.11835/) (2025)
- [Time-IMM: A Dataset and Benchmark for Irregular Multimodal Multivariate Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.10412/) (2025)
- [A Survey of AIOps in the Era of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.12472/) (2025)
- [BCAT: A Block Causal Transformer for PDE Foundation Models for Fluid Dynamics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.18972/) (2025)
- [Achieving Time Series Reasoning Requires Rethinking Model Design, Tasks Formulation, and Evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.01477/) (2025)
- [AutoIOT: LLM-Driven Automated Natural Language Programming for AIoT Applications](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.05346/) (2025)
- [LLM/Agent-as-Data-Analyst: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.23988/) (2025)
- [Geolocation Representation from Large Language Models are Generic Enhancers for Spatio-Temporal Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.12116/) (2024)
- [Time Series Generation Under Data Scarcity: A Unified Generative Modeling Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.20446/) (2025)
- [Can Language Models Use Forecasting Strategies?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.04446/) (2024)
- [Federated Foundation Models on Heterogeneous Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.08906/) (2024)
- [CauKer: Classification Time Series Foundation Models Can Be Pretrained on Synthetic Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.02879/) (2025)
- [From Values to Tokens: An LLM-Driven Framework for Context-aware Time Series Forecasting via Symbolic Discretization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.09191/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Multivariate time-series forecasting is vital in various domains, e.g., economic planning and weather prediction. Deep train-from-scratch models have exhibited effective performance yet require large amounts of data, which limits real-world applicability. Recently, researchers have leveraged the representation learning transferability of pre-trained Large Language Models (LLMs) to handle limited non-linguistic datasets effectively. However, incorporating LLMs with time-series data presents challenges of limited adaptation due to different compositions between time-series and linguistic data, and the inability to process multi-scale temporal information. To tackle these challenges, we propose LLM4TS, a framework for time-series forecasting with pre-trained LLMs. LLM4TS consists of a two-stage fine-tuning strategy: the time-series alignment stage to align LLMs with the nuances of time-series data, and the forecasting fine-tuning stage for downstream time-series forecasting tasks. Furthermore, our framework features a novel two-level aggregation method that integrates multi-scale temporal data within pre-trained LLMs, enhancing their ability to interpret time-specific information. In experiments across 7 time-series forecasting datasets, LLM4TS is superior to existing state-of-the-art methods compared with trained-from-scratch models in full-shot scenarios, and also achieves the highest rank in few-shot scenarios. In addition, evaluations compared with different unsupervised representation learning approaches highlight LLM4TS's effectiveness with representation learning in forecasting tasks. Ablation studies further validate each component's contribution to LLM4TS and underscore the essential role of utilizing LLM's pre-trained weights for optimal performance. The code is available at https://github.com/blacksnail789521/LLM4TS.