# Using Artificial Populations to Study Psychological Phenomena in Neural Models

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2308.08032 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.08032/

## Key facts

- Cited by 8 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 25 of its 37 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 15 Aug 2023.

## Builds on (most cited first, 25 of 25)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [BERT: Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.04805/) (2018)
- [RoBERTa: A Robustly Optimized BERT Pretraining Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.11692/) (2019)
- [Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02142/) (2015)
- [DistilBERT, a distilled version of BERT: smaller, faster, cheaper and lighter](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.01108/) (2019)
- [Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.01474/) (2016)
- [Sparks of Artificial General Intelligence: Early experiments with GPT-4](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.12712/) (2023)
- [Emergent Abilities of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.07682/) (2022)
- [Right for the Wrong Reasons: Diagnosing Syntactic Heuristics in Natural Language Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.01007/) (2019)
- [A Survey of Uncertainty in Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.03342/) (2021)
- [A Prompt Pattern Catalog to Enhance Prompt Engineering with ChatGPT](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.11382/) (2023)
- [Using cognitive psychology to understand GPT-3](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.14576/) (2022)
- [Large Language Models Fail on Trivial Alterations to Theory-of-Mind Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.08399/) (2023)
- [Theoretical Limitations of Self-Attention in Neural Sequence Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.06755/) (2019)
- [Neural Theory-of-Mind? On the Limits of Social Intelligence in Large LMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.13312/) (2022)
- [The Cost of Training NLP Models: A Concise Overview](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.08900/) (2020)
- [Capturing Failures of Large Language Models via Human Cognitive Biases](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.12299/) (2022)
- [Greedy Policy Search: A Simple Baseline for Learnable Test-Time Augmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.09103/) (2020)
- [Do Large Language Models know what humans know?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.01515/) (2022)
- [Problems with Cosine as a Measure of Embedding Similarity for High Frequency Words](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.05092/) (2022)
- [Structural Persistence in Language Models: Priming as a Window into Abstract Language Representations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.14989/) (2021)
- [Do Large Language Models Show Decision Heuristics Similar to Humans? A Case Study Using GPT-3.5](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.04400/) (2023)
- [Do language models learn typicality judgments from text?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.02987/) (2021)
- [LLM Cognitive Judgements Differ From Human](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.11787/) (2023)
- [Reinforcement Learning and its Connections with Neuroscience and Psychology](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.01099/) (2020)

## Built on by (most cited first, 8 of 8)

- [Do Large Language Models Learn Human-Like Strategic Preferences?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.08710/) (2024)
- [Chain of Thought Still Thinks Fast: APriCoT Helps with Thinking Slow](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.08651/) (2024)
- [Large Language Model Recall Uncertainty is Modulated by the Fan Effect](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.06349/) (2024)
- [The Base-Rate Effect on LLM Benchmark Performance: Disambiguating Test-Taking Strategies from Benchmark Performance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.11634/) (2024)
- [How LLMs Comprehend Temporal Meaning in Narratives: A Case Study in Cognitive Evaluation of LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.14307/) (2025)
- [Investigating Human-Aligned Large Language Model Uncertainty](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.12528/) (2025)
- [Basic Category Usage in Vision Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.12530/) (2025)
- [Human-Alignment and Calibration of Inference-Time Uncertainty in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.08204/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

The recent proliferation of research into transformer based natural language processing has led to a number of studies which attempt to detect the presence of human-like cognitive behavior in the models. We contend that, as is true of human psychology, the investigation of cognitive behavior in language models must be conducted in an appropriate population of an appropriate size for the results to be meaningful. We leverage work in uncertainty estimation in a novel approach to efficiently construct experimental populations. The resultant tool, PopulationLM, has been made open source. We provide theoretical grounding in the uncertainty estimation literature and motivation from current cognitive work regarding language models. We discuss the methodological lessons from other scientific communities and attempt to demonstrate their application to two artificial population studies. Through population based experimentation we find that language models exhibit behavior consistent with typicality effects among categories highly represented in training. However, we find that language models don't tend to exhibit structural priming effects. Generally, our results show that single models tend to over estimate the presence of cognitive behaviors in neural models.
