# Identifying Early Help Referrals For Local Authorities With Machine Learning And Bias Analysis

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.06871 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.06871/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 12 of its 31 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 13 Jul 2023.

## Builds on (most cited first, 12 of 12)

- ["Why Should I Trust You?": Explaining the Predictions of Any Classifier](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.04938/) (2016)
- [Equality of Opportunity in Supervised Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1610.02413/) (2016)
- [A Survey on Bias and Fairness in Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.09635/) (2019)
- [Certifying and removing disparate impact](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.3756/) (2014)
- [Mitigating Unwanted Biases with Adversarial Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1801.07593/) (2018)
- [A Reductions Approach to Fair Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.02453/) (2018)
- [Trustworthy AI: A Computational Perspective](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.06641/) (2021)
- [The role of explainability in creating trustworthy artificial intelligence for health care: a comprehensive survey of the terminology, design choices, and evaluation strategies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.15911/) (2020)
- [dalex: Responsible Machine Learning with Interactive Explainability and Fairness in Python](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.14406/) (2020)
- [Individual Fairness in Hindsight](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.04069/) (2018)
- [Fairness-Aware PAC Learning from Corrupted Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.06004/) (2021)
- [fairmodels: A Flexible Tool For Bias Detection, Visualization, And Mitigation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.00507/) (2021)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Local authorities in England, such as Leicestershire County Council (LCC), provide Early Help services that can be offered at any point in a young person's life when they experience difficulties that cannot be supported by universal services alone, such as schools. This paper investigates the utilisation of machine learning (ML) to assist experts in identifying families that may need to be referred for Early Help assessment and support. LCC provided an anonymised dataset comprising 14360 records of young people under the age of 18. The dataset was pre-processed, machine learning models were build, and experiments were conducted to validate and test the performance of the models. Bias mitigation techniques were applied to improve the fairness of these models. During testing, while the models demonstrated the capability to identify young people requiring intervention or early help, they also produced a significant number of false positives, especially when constructed with imbalanced data, incorrectly identifying individuals who most likely did not need an Early Help referral. This paper empirically explores the suitability of data-driven ML models for identifying young people who may require Early Help services and discusses their appropriateness and limitations for this task.