# Selectively Answering Ambiguous Questions

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.14613 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.14613/

## Key facts

- Cited by 66 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 30 of its 44 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 24 May 2023.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 30)

- [Chain-of-Thought Prompting Elicits Reasoning in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.11903/) (2022)
- [Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.11171/) (2022)
- [PaLM: Scaling Language Modeling with Pathways](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.02311/) (2022)
- [On Calibration of Modern Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.04599/) (2017)
- [Scaling Instruction-Finetuned Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.11416/) (2022)
- [TriviaQA: A Large Scale Distantly Supervised Challenge Dataset for Reading Comprehension](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.03551/) (2017)
- [The Curious Case of Neural Text Degeneration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.09751/) (2019)
- [Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.05221/) (2022)
- [Hierarchical Neural Story Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.04833/) (2018)
- [Fantastically Ordered Prompts and Where to Find Them: Overcoming Few-Shot Prompt Order Sensitivity](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.08786/) (2021)
- [SelfCheckGPT: Zero-Resource Black-Box Hallucination Detection for Generative Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.08896/) (2023)
- [Teaching Models to Express Their Uncertainty in Words](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.14334/) (2022)
- [Latent Retrieval for Weakly Supervised Open Domain Question Answering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.00300/) (2019)
- [How Can We Know When Language Models Know? On the Calibration of Language Models for Question Answering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.00955/) (2020)
- [AmbigQA: Answering Ambiguous Open-domain Questions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.10645/) (2020)
- [Calibration of Pre-trained Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.07892/) (2020)
- [Selective Question Answering under Domain Shift](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.09462/) (2020)
- [ASQA: Factoid Questions Meet Long-Form Answers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.06092/) (2022)
- [Out-of-Distribution Detection and Selective Generation for Conditional Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.15558/) (2022)
- [SituatedQA: Incorporating Extra-Linguistic Contexts into QA](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.06157/) (2021)
- [Epistemic Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.08924/) (2021)
- [Locally Typical Sampling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.00666/) (2022)
- [Calibration of Encoder Decoder Models for Neural Machine Translation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.00802/) (2019)
- [Investigating Selective Prediction Approaches Across Several Tasks in IID, OOD, and Adversarial Settings](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.00211/) (2022)
- [Knowing More About Questions Can Help: Improving Calibration in Question Answering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.01494/) (2021)
- [Model Cascading: Towards Jointly Improving Efficiency and Accuracy of NLP Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.05528/) (2022)
- [Confidence Modeling for Neural Semantic Parsing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.04604/) (2018)
- [Calibrating Structured Output Predictors for Natural Language Processing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.04361/) (2020)
- [Estimating the Entropy of Linguistic Distributions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.01469/) (2022)
- [Conditional Poisson Stochastic Beam Search](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.11034/) (2021)

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 66)

- [Semantic Entropy Probes: Robust and Cheap Hallucination Detection in LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.15927/) (2024)
- [Kernel Language Entropy: Fine-grained Uncertainty Quantification for LLMs from Semantic Similarities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.20003/) (2024)
- [Rephrase and Respond: Let Large Language Models Ask Better Questions for Themselves](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.04205/) (2023)
- [Know Your Limits: A Survey of Abstention in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.18418/) (2024)
- [To Believe or Not to Believe Your LLM](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.02543/) (2024)
- [Decomposing Uncertainty for Large Language Models through Input Clarification Ensembling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.08718/) (2023)
- [Self-Evaluation Improves Selective Generation in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.09300/) (2023)
- [Modeling Future Conversation Turns to Teach LLMs to Ask Clarifying Questions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.13788/) (2024)
- [Uncertainty in Natural Language Generation: From Theory to Applications](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.15703/) (2023)
- [Mitigating LLM Hallucinations via Conformal Abstention](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.01563/) (2024)
- [Missing Premise exacerbates Overthinking: Are Reasoning Models losing Critical Thinking Skill?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.06514/) (2025)
- [Calibrating Long-form Generations from Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.06544/) (2024)
- [MAQA: Evaluating Uncertainty Quantification in LLMs Regarding Data Uncertainty](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.06816/) (2024)
- [Finetuning Language Models to Emit Linguistic Expressions of Uncertainty](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.12180/) (2024)
- [Estimating LLM Uncertainty with Evidence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.00290/) (2025)
- [AmbigDocs: Reasoning across Documents on Different Entities under the Same Name](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.12447/) (2024)
- [From Calibration to Collaboration: LLM Uncertainty Quantification Should Be More Human-Centered](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.07461/) (2025)
- [Estimating the Hallucination Rate of Generative AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.07457/) (2024)
- [Semantic Volume: Quantifying and Detecting both External and Internal Uncertainty in LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.21239/) (2025)
- [Uncertainty Quantification for Language Models: A Suite of Black-Box, White-Box, LLM Judge, and Ensemble Scorers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.19254/) (2025)
- [Calibrate-Then-Act: Cost-Aware Exploration in LLM Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.16699/) (2026)
- [Crowd-Calibrator: Can Annotator Disagreement Inform Calibration in Subjective Tasks?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.14141/) (2024)
- [Disambiguate First, Parse Later: Generating Interpretations for Ambiguity Resolution in Semantic Parsing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.18448/) (2025)
- [Grammars of Formal Uncertainty: When to Trust LLMs in Automated Reasoning Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.20047/) (2025)
- [Varying Shades of Wrong: Aligning LLMs with Wrong Answers Only](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.11055/) (2024)
- [UQLM: A Python Package for Uncertainty Quantification in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.06196/) (2025)
- [Can Tool-augmented Large Language Models be Aware of Incomplete Conditions?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.12307/) (2024)
- [Is There No Such Thing as a Bad Question? H4R: HalluciBot For Ratiocination, Rewriting, Ranking, and Routing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.12535/) (2024)
- [Improving Instruction Following in Language Models through Proxy-Based Uncertainty Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.06424/) (2024)
- [The Consistency Hypothesis in Uncertainty Quantification for Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.21849/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Trustworthy language models should abstain from answering questions when they do not know the answer. However, the answer to a question can be unknown for a variety of reasons. Prior research has focused on the case in which the question is clear and the answer is unambiguous but possibly unknown, but the answer to a question can also be unclear due to uncertainty of the questioner's intent or context. We investigate question answering from this perspective, focusing on answering a subset of questions with a high degree of accuracy, from a set of questions in which many are inherently ambiguous. In this setting, we find that the most reliable approach to decide when to abstain involves quantifying repetition within sampled model outputs, rather than the model's likelihood or self-verification as used in prior work. We find this to be the case across different types of uncertainty and model scales,and with or without instruction tuning. Our results suggest that sampling-based confidence scores help calibrate answers to relatively unambiguous questions, with more dramatic improvements on ambiguous questions.
