# Calibration-Aware Bayesian Learning

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.07504 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.07504/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 10 of its 20 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 12 May 2023.

## Builds on (most cited first, 10 of 10)

- [Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.03385/) (2015)
- [GPT-4 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.08774/) (2023)
- [On Calibration of Modern Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.04599/) (2017)
- [Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty in Machine Learning: An Introduction to Concepts and Methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.09457/) (2019)
- [Network In Network](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1312.4400/) (2013)
- [Differentiable Ranks and Sorting using Optimal Transport](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.11885/) (2019)
- [Generalized Variational Inference: Three arguments for deriving new Posteriors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.02063/) (2019)
- [Meta-Calibration: Learning of Model Calibration Using Differentiable Expected Calibration Error](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.09613/) (2021)
- [Patterns of Scalable Bayesian Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.05221/) (2016)
- [Few-Shot Calibration of Set Predictors via Meta-Learned Cross-Validation-Based Conformal Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.03067/) (2022)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [Calibrating Bayesian Learning via Regularization, Confidence Minimization, and Selective Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.11350/) (2024)
- [Neuromorphic Wireless Split Computing with Multi-Level Spikes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.04728/) (2024)
- [h-calibration: Rethinking Classifier Recalibration with Probabilistic Error-Bounded Objective](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.17968/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Deep learning models, including modern systems like large language models, are well known to offer unreliable estimates of the uncertainty of their decisions. In order to improve the quality of the confidence levels, also known as calibration, of a model, common approaches entail the addition of either data-dependent or data-independent regularization terms to the training loss. Data-dependent regularizers have been recently introduced in the context of conventional frequentist learning to penalize deviations between confidence and accuracy. In contrast, data-independent regularizers are at the core of Bayesian learning, enforcing adherence of the variational distribution in the model parameter space to a prior density. The former approach is unable to quantify epistemic uncertainty, while the latter is severely affected by model misspecification. In light of the limitations of both methods, this paper proposes an integrated framework, referred to as calibration-aware Bayesian neural networks (CA-BNNs), that applies both regularizers while optimizing over a variational distribution as in Bayesian learning. Numerical results validate the advantages of the proposed approach in terms of expected calibration error (ECE) and reliability diagrams.
