# Matched Machine Learning: A Generalized Framework for Treatment Effect Inference With Learned Metrics

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2304.01316 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.01316/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 11 of its 49 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 3 Apr 2023.

## Builds on (most cited first, 11 of 11)

- [Auto-Encoding Variational Bayes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1312.6114/) (2013)
- [Estimation and Inference of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects using Random Forests](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1510.04342/) (2015)
- [Meta-learners for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects using Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03461/) (2017)
- [Discussion on "Bayesian Regression Tree Models for Causal Inference: Regularization, Confounding, and Heterogeneous Effects" by Hahn, Murray and Carvalho](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.02836/) (2021)
- [Deep Neural Networks for Estimation and Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.09953/) (2018)
- [Generalized Optimal Matching Methods for Causal Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.08321/) (2016)
- [FLAME: A Fast Large-scale Almost Matching Exactly Approach to Causal Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.06315/) (2017)
- [MALTS: Matching After Learning to Stretch](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.07415/) (2018)
- [Matching Using Sufficient Dimension Reduction for Causal Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1702.00444/) (2017)
- [Adaptive Hyper-box Matching for Interpretable Individualized Treatment Effect Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.01805/) (2020)
- [On Convergence of Nearest Neighbor Classifiers over Feature Transformations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.07765/) (2020)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Interpretable Causal Inference for Analyzing Wearable, Sensor, and Distributional Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.10569/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We introduce Matched Machine Learning, a framework that combines the flexibility of machine learning black boxes with the interpretability of matching, a longstanding tool in observational causal inference. Interpretability is paramount in many high-stakes application of causal inference. Current tools for nonparametric estimation of both average and individualized treatment effects are black-boxes that do not allow for human auditing of estimates. Our framework uses machine learning to learn an optimal metric for matching units and estimating outcomes, thus achieving the performance of machine learning black-boxes, while being interpretable. Our general framework encompasses several published works as special cases. We provide asymptotic inference theory for our proposed framework, enabling users to construct approximate confidence intervals around estimates of both individualized and average treatment effects. We show empirically that instances of Matched Machine Learning perform on par with black-box machine learning methods and better than existing matching methods for similar problems. Finally, in our application we show how Matched Machine Learning can be used to perform causal inference even when covariate data are highly complex: we study an image dataset, and produce high quality matches and estimates of treatment effects.
