# Confidence-aware 3D Gaze Estimation and Evaluation Metric

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.10062 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.10062/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 12 of its 20 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 17 Mar 2023.

## Builds on (most cited first, 12 of 12)

- [Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02142/) (2015)
- [Benchmarking Neural Network Robustness to Common Corruptions and Perturbations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.12261/) (2019)
- [What Uncertainties Do We Need in Bayesian Deep Learning for Computer Vision?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.04977/) (2017)
- [OpenPose: Realtime Multi-Person 2D Pose Estimation using Part Affinity Fields](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.08008/) (2018)
- [Gaze360: Physically Unconstrained Gaze Estimation in the Wild](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.10088/) (2019)
- [Appearance-Based Gaze Estimation in the Wild](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1504.02863/) (2015)
- [It's Written All Over Your Face: Full-Face Appearance-Based Gaze Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.08860/) (2016)
- [Predicting the Driver's Focus of Attention: the DR(eye)VE Project](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.03854/) (2017)
- [Few-Shot Adaptive Gaze Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.01941/) (2019)
- [Appearance-Based Gaze Estimation Using Dilated-Convolutions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.07296/) (2019)
- [Unsupervised Representation Learning for Gaze Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.06939/) (2019)
- [Gaze Estimation for Assisted Living Environments](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.09225/) (2019)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Coordinate Singularities Break Conformal Coverage for Gaze and Head Pose](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.02565/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Deep learning appearance-based 3D gaze estimation is gaining popularity due to its minimal hardware requirements and being free of constraint. Unreliable and overconfident inferences, however, still limit the adoption of this gaze estimation method. To address the unreliable and overconfident issues, we introduce a confidence-aware model that predicts uncertainties together with gaze angle estimations. We also introduce a novel effectiveness evaluation method based on the causality between eye feature degradation and the rise in inference uncertainty to assess the uncertainty estimation. Our confidence-aware model demonstrates reliable uncertainty estimations while providing angular estimation accuracies on par with the state-of-the-art. Compared with the existing statistical uncertainty-angular-error evaluation metric, the proposed effectiveness evaluation approach can more effectively judge inferred uncertainties' performance at each prediction.
