# Attention-based Spatial-Temporal Graph Convolutional Recurrent Networks for Traffic Forecasting

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2302.12973 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.12973/

## Key facts

- Cited by 5 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 20 of its 50 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 25 Feb 2023.

## Builds on (most cited first, 20 of 20)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6980/) (2014)
- [Semi-Supervised Classification with Graph Convolutional Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1609.02907/) (2016)
- [Squeeze-and-Excitation Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.01507/) (2017)
- [Neural Machine Translation by Jointly Learning to Align and Translate](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1409.0473/) (2014)
- [Sequence to Sequence Learning with Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1409.3215/) (2014)
- [Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.07436/) (2020)
- [On the Properties of Neural Machine Translation: Encoder-Decoder Approaches](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1409.1259/) (2014)
- [Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks: A Deep Learning Framework for Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.04875/) (2017)
- [Spectral Networks and Locally Connected Networks on Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1312.6203/) (2013)
- [Graph WaveNet for Deep Spatial-Temporal Graph Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.00121/) (2019)
- [Connecting the Dots: Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Graph Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.11650/) (2020)
- [Adaptive Graph Convolutional Recurrent Network for Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.02842/) (2020)
- [GMAN: A Graph Multi-Attention Network for Traffic Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.08415/) (2019)
- [End-to-End Human Pose and Mesh Reconstruction with Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.09760/) (2020)
- [Spatial-Temporal Fusion Graph Neural Networks for Traffic Flow Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.09641/) (2020)
- [Spatial-Temporal Graph ODE Networks for Traffic Flow Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.12931/) (2021)
- [Dynamic Graph Convolutional Recurrent Network for Traffic Prediction: Benchmark and Solution](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.14917/) (2021)
- [Graph Neural Controlled Differential Equations for Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.03558/) (2021)
- [Z-GCNETs: Time Zigzags at Graph Convolutional Networks for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.04100/) (2021)

## Built on by (most cited first, 5 of 5)

- [Memory-enhanced Invariant Prompt Learning for Urban Flow Prediction under Distribution Shifts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.05534/) (2024)
- [Empowering Power Outage Prediction with Spatially Aware Hybrid Graph Neural Networks and Contrastive Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.04916/) (2026)
- [Multi-Scale Spatial-Temporal Recurrent Networks for Traffic Flow Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.08138/) (2023)
- [Graph Neural Networks with Diversity-aware Neighbor Selection and Dynamic Multi-scale Fusion for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.23671/) (2025)
- [GraphSVR: A Graph Convolutional Support Vector Regression Framework for Robust Spatiotemporal Air Pollution Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.03795/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Traffic forecasting is one of the most fundamental problems in transportation science and artificial intelligence. The key challenge is to effectively model complex spatial-temporal dependencies and correlations in modern traffic data. Existing methods, however, cannot accurately model both long-term and short-term temporal correlations simultaneously, limiting their expressive power on complex spatial-temporal patterns. In this paper, we propose a novel spatial-temporal neural network framework: Attention-based Spatial-Temporal Graph Convolutional Recurrent Network (ASTGCRN), which consists of a graph convolutional recurrent module (GCRN) and a global attention module. In particular, GCRN integrates gated recurrent units and adaptive graph convolutional networks for dynamically learning graph structures and capturing spatial dependencies and local temporal relationships. To effectively extract global temporal dependencies, we design a temporal attention layer and implement it as three independent modules based on multi-head self-attention, transformer, and informer respectively. Extensive experiments on five real traffic datasets have demonstrated the excellent predictive performance of all our three models with all their average MAE, RMSE and MAPE across the test datasets lower than the baseline methods.
