# A Two-Sided Discussion of Preregistration of NLP Research

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2302.10086 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.10086/

## Key facts

- Cited by 6 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 13 of its 90 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 20 Feb 2023.

## Builds on (most cited first, 13 of 13)

- [BERT: Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.04805/) (2018)
- [How multilingual is Multilingual BERT?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.01502/) (2019)
- [Challenges and Strategies in Cross-Cultural NLP](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.10020/) (2022)
- [With Little Power Comes Great Responsibility](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.06595/) (2020)
- [Troubling Trends in Machine Learning Scholarship](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1807.03341/) (2018)
- [Is Automated Topic Model Evaluation Broken?: The Incoherence of Coherence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.02173/) (2021)
- [Multimodal Pretraining Unmasked: A Meta-Analysis and a Unified Framework of Vision-and-Language BERTs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.15124/) (2020)
- [A Systematic Review of Reproducibility Research in Natural Language Processing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.07929/) (2021)
- [Replicability Analysis for Natural Language Processing: Testing Significance with Multiple Datasets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.09500/) (2017)
- [Sources of Irreproducibility in Machine Learning: A Review](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.07610/) (2022)
- [Preregistering NLP Research](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.06944/) (2021)
- [HARK Side of Deep Learning -- From Grad Student Descent to Automated Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.07633/) (2019)
- [Risk Assessment for Machine Learning Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.04328/) (2020)

## Built on by (most cited first, 6 of 6)

- [Rigor in AI: Doing Rigorous AI Work Requires a Broader, Responsible AI-Informed Conception of Rigor](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.14652/) (2025)
- [Thorny Roses: Investigating the Dual Use Dilemma in Natural Language Processing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.08315/) (2023)
- [Scaffold, Not Vocabulary? A Controlled, Two-Tier, Pre-Registered Study of a Popperian Code-Generation Skill](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.06454/) (2026)
- [Investigating the Robustness of Modelling Decisions for Few-Shot Cross-Topic Stance Detection: A Preregistered Study](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.03987/) (2024)
- [No Detectable Change in Side-Level WER from Prompt-Level Context: A Preregistered Ablation on a Production Oral-History Corpus](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.28875/) (2026)
- [Clean Engineering, Unstable Measurement: A Preregistered Reliability Failure of Black-Box LLM Observers on Shared Endpoints](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.04198/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Van Miltenburg et al. (2021) suggest NLP research should adopt preregistration to prevent fishing expeditions and to promote publication of negative results. At face value, this is a very reasonable suggestion, seemingly solving many methodological problems with NLP research. We discuss pros and cons -- some old, some new: a) Preregistration is challenged by the practice of retrieving hypotheses after the results are known; b) preregistration may bias NLP toward confirmatory research; c) preregistration must allow for reclassification of research as exploratory; d) preregistration may increase publication bias; e) preregistration may increase flag-planting; f) preregistration may increase p-hacking; and finally, g) preregistration may make us less risk tolerant. We cast our discussion as a dialogue, presenting both sides of the debate.
